Rogers Hornsby Chapter

January 2025 Newsletter
By Gilbert D. Martinez

An Austin-born former Major League pitcher, a longtime broadcaster and his best year yet, the new voice of the Round Rock Express, special memories shaped by baseball, the chapter’s mock Hall of Fame vote and a new way to evaluate catchers filled the 19th Annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting on Saturday.

With the start of the 2025 season about three months away, more than 30 chapter members and guests joined the winter meeting in person at Texas State University and on Zoom. We paid tribute to the late Bill Gilbert, who was the driving force in creating the Hornsby Chapter and the Larry Dierker Chapter in Houston.

Ross Ohlendorf

Longtime broadcaster and chapter member Mike Capps (pictured above, right, with Ohlendorf) reunited with former broadcast partner Ross Ohlendorf, who pitched eight years in MLB, from 2008 to 2016, with the Pirates, Yankees, Padres, Nationals, Rangers and Reds, and one year with the Tokyo Yakult Swallows.

Cappy covered a range of topics with Ohlendorf, including his time as a dual-sport athlete (basketball and baseball) at St. Stephen’s Episcopal High School in Austin and as a pitcher at Princeton University, where he published a senior thesis that examined the top 100 draft picks from 1989 to 1993 to determine the value of each pick. Essentially, he said, he used win shares to evaluate player performance. In 2009, Tim Kurkjian wrote an article about Ohlendorf and his thesis for ESPN.com.

We also watched video of Ohlendorf’s immaculate inning, when he struck out three Cardinals batters on nine pitches on Sept. 5, 2009. He said he remembered thinking about the possibility of an immaculate inning on the third batter. 

Ohlendorf talked about how valuable it was to him to have effective coaching to help him improve throughout his career. He also appreciated talking a lot about pitching with teammate Steve Jackson when they played for the Yankees and Pirates early in their careers. He found this kind of collaboration rare in baseball because of the inherent competition between relievers.

He said he found game preparation often focused on the weaknesses of the opposing hitters, but he felt best prepared when there were discussions about his strengths as a pitcher.

“You get lost in what you do well as a pitcher sometimes,” he said.

Ohlendorf also shared his experience playing for the Tokyo Yakult Swallows in his last year of professional ball. In MLB, he said pitching coaches wanted him to throw his best pitches more often, while in Japan, the team and pitching coaches encouraged him to throw more kinds of pitches to keep hitters off balance. For example, if he threw a good split-finger fastball in practice, the team wanted him to throw it during games. But if he didn’t have good command of the pitch, he said he’d find himself in bad counts.

A question from the audience about injuries to pitchers and the increased prevalence of Tommy John surgeries prompted Ohlendorf to reflect on another difference between baseball in America and Japan. He said when there are two outs in an inning in Japan, starting pitchers typically hop out of the dugout to throw additional warmup pitches before the side is retired. He said he thinks this would help pitchers stay warm and may help prevent injury. He also shared that in Japan, pitchers work more on holding runners and being quicker to the plate, probably indicative of the small-ball type of play often seen in Japan as compared to MLB.

Since retirement, Ohlendorf, as a sixth-generation rancher, has gotten more involved with the family business raising Texas Longhorns at the Rocking O Longhorns in Lockhart.

Cappy asked Ohlendorf if he’s considered joining a team’s front office, but with three young children and another on the way, he said, “Not right now,” but he also didn’t rule it out in the future.

Mike Capps’ 2024 broadcast adventure

After 24 years as the voice of the Round Rock Express and a distinguished career in broadcast news before that, Mike Capps decided to take on new challenges in 2024. He joined the Wichita Wind Surge, the Double-A affiliate of the Minnesota Twins, broadcasting all of their games in Texas. He also became the voice for the baseball team at the University of Texas–San Antonio.

He credited longtime baseball executive Jay Miller for supporting him throughout his career. Miller, who retired as president of the Wichita Wind Surge last month, brought Cappy onboard at the Express in 2000 and then tapped him for broadcasting duties with the Wind Surge in 2024.

Last year, he said, was “the best year I’ve had in baseball since Jay Miller” brought him to Round Rock in 2000, he said.

But he said one of the biggest surprises of the year was getting the call from the Iowa Cubs, the Triple-A affiliate, which is one of his favorite minor league venues.

He said he was grateful for his time with the Express, but calling games with other teams was great fun.

“This last year for me and my family was just incredible,” Cappy said. “(Having) friends in baseball – they take care of you.”

He’s looking forward to broadcasting with the Wichita Wind Surge and UTSA in 2025 and is hopeful to return to the Iowa Cubs broadcast booth.

A new broadcast voice in Round Rock: Rylan Kobre

With Mike Capps’ departure, the Round Rock Express turned to Rylan Kobre as the new voice of the Express in the 2024 season. He joined us via Zoom to talk about his first full year in the booth.

He also identified several players in the Rangers’ minor league system that might get some serious playing time with the Express in 2025, unless some of them leap to the big league club. He suggested watching out for hitters with a good, disciplined approach at the plate such as Blaine Crim and Trevor Hauver. He also thought that right-handed pitcher Justin Foscue might start in Round Rock this year.

Kobre also shared that clubhouse renovations are underway at the Dell Diamond to give more room for the larger rosters in Triple-A. He noted that when the stadium was first built, it was designed to accommodate smaller Double-A rosters, so renovations were long overdue. The home clubhouse is beyond the left field side while the area behind right field will have the new visitors’ clubhouse.

Chapter’s mock HOF vote
By Ryan Pollack

In its annual mock election held at the chapter’s winter meeting, the Rogers Hornsby Chapter elected trailblazing international superstar Ichiro Suzuki to the Hall of Fame. Ichiro was named on 38 of the 42 ballots submitted, giving him 90.4% of the vote. Candidates must appear on 75% of ballots to gain election.

Ichiro redefined what it means to be a Japanese player in MLB. Immediately upon arriving in the United States in 2001, he won the AL MVP and Rookie of the Year in the same season, a feat that hadn’t been accomplished since Fred Lynn in 1975. This performance played a key role in the Mariners’ 116-win year and set the tone for what was to come. Throughout his long career, Ichiro showcased a keen batting eye, incredible skill for contact, great baserunning, a strong right arm and a colorful personality. He tallied 3,089 hits and set the single-season hits record with 262. But more than that, he became an international representative for the game of baseball. 

Tallying 22 votes each for a vote share of 52.3% were left-handers CC Sabathia and Billy Wagner. Sabathia notched 3,093 strikeouts and won a Cy Young Award in a 19-year MLB career. Wagner boasts a career 2.31 ERA, 422 saves and the highest strikeout rate (33.2%) of any retired pitcher with at least 800 innings pitched.

The other players reaching double-digit vote totals were Alex Rodriguez, Andy Pettitte, Carlos Beltran and Manny Ramirez, each with 17 (40.4%); and Andruw Jones with 14 (33.3%). 

See below for the full totals:

Player	Number of votes	%
Ichiro Suzuki	38	90.4
Billy Wagner	22	52.3
CC Sabathia	22	52.3
Alex Rodriguez	17	40.4
Andy Pettitte	17	40.4
Carlos Beltran	17	40.4
Manny Ramirez	17	40.4
Andruw Jones	14	33.3
Bobby Abreu	8	19
Chase Utley	8	19
Felix Hernandez	8	19
Dustin Pedroia	6	14.2
Omar Vizquel	5	11.9
Torii Hunter	5	11.9
Jimmy Rollins	4	9.5
David Wright	2	4.7
Francisco Rodriguez	2	4.7
Mark Buehrle	2	4.7
Adam Jones	1	2.3
Ben Zobrist	1	2.3
Brian McCann	1	2.3
Hanley Ramirez	1	2.3
Ian Kinsler	1	2.3
Troy Tulowitzki	1	2.3

The Baseball Writers’ Association of America will announce official results at 5 p.m. (Central) Jan. 21 on MLB Network. If any on the ballot achieve 75 percent of the vote or better, he or they will join Dave Parker and Dick Allen, who were selected by the Veterans Committee in December, at Cooperstown, New York, for the induction ceremony in July.

Predictatron trophy presentation

Predictatron impresario Jim Baker presented Ryan Pollack with the trophy for winning the postseason Predictatron contest. The winner of the season-long prediction contest, Brian Rogers, was unable to join us on Saturday and will receive his trophy at a later time. Baker noted that Mike Dillon came within a few games of achieving victories in both the season-long and postseason contests, but the Dodgers’ memorable (or forgettable, depending on one’s perspective) fifth inning comeback in World Series Game 5 sunk not only the Yankees’ chances, but Dillon’s, too. Nonetheless, Baker applauded Dillon’s near achievement.

 

A whole new Predictatron for chapter members commences soon. Watch for email announcements from Baker in mid-March.

Trivia quiz focusing on famous baseball trades

A chapter winter meeting wouldn’t be the same without a trivia quiz, and winter meeting coordinator Jerry Miller brought a doozy. He challenged us to recall details of players and teams involved with memorable trades throughout baseball history.

 

Tom Thayer proved to be equal to the task, nabbing 42 out of 49 points on the quiz, winning a book about Nolan Ryan. Cy Morong came in at second with 36 points, winning a biography about Cal Ripken Jr. (co-authored by friend of the chapter Mike Bryan), and Jim Baker took third with 30 points and won a book about Mickey Mantle.

 

Think you can top these three quiz titans? Take your swing clicking here: baseball trades quiz. Click here for the answers: Famous Baseball Trades January 2025 answers.

 

A new way of evaluating catchers

Chapter member Tom Thayer gave a presentation that offered a new way to evaluate catchers. Noticing that catchers seem to be devalued by modern-day metrics such as WAR (Wins Above Replacement), he’s working on a way to more accurately assess catchers by incorporating their defensive skills and contributions to improving pitching performance.

 

He said it’s a work in progress that confirms some of the conventional wisdom concerning catching greats, but it also may encourage baseball historians and statisticians to revisit others.

 

Click here to see his presentation slides: Catcher Evaluation by Tom Thayer

 

Members’ presentations focus on baseball memories

Jerry Miller opened the meeting with a brief presentation featuring his 2024 ballpark memories, followed by those of Ira Siegel and Gilbert Martinez. Click here for the presentation slides: Ballpark Memories 2024

Members of the audience including Syd Polk and Dierker Chapter President Joe Thompson also shared their baseball memories of the year.

 

Chapter members Frank Rechtorovic, Jan Larson, Jerry Miller and Nicole Bryan-Hall brought presentations that tied important baseball memories to baseball history.

 

Frank Rechtorovic, who became a middle school math teacher after a 22-year career in the Army and National Guard, gave a compelling presentation about how his birthday (9-7-61) was the greatest date in baseball — not just because that’s when he was born, but because of the significance of the numbers as they relate to his favorite team, the New York Yankees. Click here to see his presentation: SABR Presentation by Frank Rechtorovic

 

Jan Larson, one of the Hornsby Chapter directors, gave his presentation via Zoom to recount his lifelong journey to see every major league team play in person, accumulating visits to stadiums across the country and around the world, some of which are no longer standing. He also has plans to see games at future stadiums that may be built in the coming years. Click here to see his presentation: Stadiums by Jan Larson

 

 

Jerry Miller, who shared that he has boxes and shelves full of receipts, programs and other baseball memorabilia, took on the task of fully documenting every game he’s attended and the players and feats he witnessed. During the pandemic a few years ago, he wondered exactly how many games he’s seen, and so began his quest to find the answer. Click here to see his presentation slides: Baseball Game Project presentation by Gerald Miller

 

Nicole Bryan-Hall said she was inspired by her daughter, Bailey Hall, who won the top poster presentation at SABR 52 in Minneapolis in August. In fact, Bailey gave her presentation, which sought to evaluate whether a leadoff walk or leadoff single was more damaging, at last year’s Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting, which then led to her poster creation of her findings for SABR 52. Nicole said she wanted to tell her own story about how baseball has helped shape her life, including her stint as an intern with the St. Louis Cardinals, her love of the Houston Astros and the Chicago Cubs, and her surprise when Bailey, as a child, took to baseball, which led both to the Hornsby Chapter. Click here to see her presentation slides: A LIFE OF BASEBALL MEMORIES by Nicole Bryan-Hall

 

Other News

Dierker Chapter celebrating the 60th anniversary of the Astrodome all year
By Joe Thompson
President, Larry Dierker Chapter (Houston)

On April 9, 2025, the Astrodome will celebrate its 60th birthday.  The Larry Dierker Chapter in Houston will spend the entire year celebrating the birthday of the Dome.  Almost every chapter event in 2025 will have either a special guest or a chapter member who will give an Astrodome-related presentation. 

I hope to invite former players, managers, executives, journalists and fans who would like to speak to the group about their memories of the Dome.  For example, on Jan. 20, the chapter meeting will feature Astrodome expert and historian Mike Acosta. 

Each edition of the Houston chapter newsletter for the upcoming year will have at least one article about an event at the Astrodome.   I also intend to show at least one video of an Astros game in the Dome at a chapter event this year.  The game I have in mind for SABR Day (Saturday, Feb. 1) is the oldest TV broadcast involving the Astros known:  Astros vs. Dodgers (Sept. 4, 1965).  The broadcasters for the game are Keith Jackson and Jackie Robinson.  Here is the link from Rare Sports Films, the company that I purchased the DVD from at SABR 50 in Baltimore (https://raresportsfilms.com/1965-la-astros.html).  

I hope to get as many SABR members as I can who want to participate in celebrating the 60th birthday of the Eighth Wonder of the World, the Houston Astrodome.  

In closing, if anyone can connect me with a former player or manager who played in the Astrodome, a member of a team’s front office with the Astros during the era of the Dome, if anyone has ideas on a presentation, if someone wants to volunteer to write an article or series of articles for the chapter newsletter, or if someone would like to help put a panel of speakers together one month or a group of speakers throughout the year, please have them reach out to Joe Thompson, Houston SABR chapter president (splendorajoe@gmail.com).

Kudos to baseball authors who visited us in 2024

Aaron Fischman, author of “A Baseball Gaijin: Chasing a Dream to Japan and Back” and guest speaker at our August meeting, and Keith O’Brien, author of “Charlie Hustle: The Rise and Fall of Pete Rose, and the Last Glory Days of Baseball” and guest speaker at our February meeting for SABR Day, have both been named finalists for Spitball Magazine’s 2024 CASEY Award for best baseball book! Congratulations to both!

Hornsby Chapter’s Baseball Memories 2024 year in review

Monte Cely, who leads volunteer efforts in our innovative baseball memories program, recapped the chapter’s activities for the year. To read more about the program and learn how to get involved, click here for the 2024 year in review. 

Many thanks and gratitude!

We offer our greatest appreciation for everyone that made the 19th Annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting so much fun! Thanks to Ross Ohlendorf and Mike Capps! Thanks to Rylan Kobre! Thanks to all of our presenters: Frank Rechtorovic, Jan Larson, Jerry Miller, Nicole Bryan-Hall and Tom Thayer! Many thanks to Monte and Linda Cely for arranging our lunch with ballpark fare! And a huge thanks to Jerry Miller for coordinating the winter meeting!

Next meeting: SABR Day on Feb. 1 on Zoom

The Texas Rangers social media manager and Texas State graduate Remle Herzberg will join us at 1 p.m. Saturday, Feb. 1, to help us recognize and celebrate SABR Day!

To register for this meeting and to receive the Zoom details, please click this link: https://txstate.zoom.us/meeting/register/1HYu_mO8SBKYf0FhiFH_6g

Hope you can join us!

December 2024 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

Sixteen chapter members and guests mulled the latest free agent signings and trades while Dodgers fans continued celebrating their team’s World Series win at the December chapter meeting.

In addition to barbecue with all the fixings at County Line on the Lake in Northwest Austin, we were treated to delicious trays of homemade cookies and treats brought by Linda and Monte Cely. They also brought small holiday bags so everyone could take home more treats. This has become another favorite chapter tradition.

In addition to the Mets’ signing of Juan Soto and the Cubs’ acquisition of Kyle Tucker, we also talked about MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred’s interest in the so-called Golden At-Bat, in which teams could call up any player, once a game, for any at bat. We didn’t like the idea, but based on published reports, Manfred said he’s not in favor of this change and noted that changes to the game can take a long time to be implemented.

With memories of the latest World Series fresh in our minds, Cy Morong assembled a quiz of World Series trivia spanning centuries. For some of us, our hopes of doing well on this multiple-choice quiz were quickly dashed just a few questions in!

But Jerry Miller was up to the task as the only contestant to reach double digits, taking first place with 12 points. Jim Baker and Ira Siegel tied for second with nine points each, with Jim winning by acing all three of the tiebreaker questions. For their efforts, Cy awarded Jerry and Jim with baseball books (pictured in photo at top, Jerry on left).

Take a swing at Cy’s World Series Quiz below (answers immediately follow the questions) and see if you can top Jerry’s total.

This was the 217th consecutive month in which the chapter has had a meeting, a streak dating to December 2006. The site of the December lunch meeting – County Line on the Lake – was also the group’s very first meeting spot on Dec. 9, 2003, three years before the official creation of the Hornsby Chapter.

Awardatron Winners!

By Ryan Pollack (shared via email to the Hornsby Chapter on Nov. 25)

Greetings everyone! Hope you’re having a wonderful offseason. Thanks for being patient with me as I tally up the scores from last week’s voting.

To recap, your award winners are:

MVPs: Judge, Ohtani

Cy Youngs: Skubal, Sale

ROYs: Gil, Skenes

MOYs: Vogt, Murphy

As a reminder, our divisions this year were named after the 1973 Cy Young Award winers (Palmer, Seaver).

Champion

Your 2024 Awardatron Champion is Mike McNulty! In a difficult year that saw two major favorites (Spencer Strider, Ronald Acuña, Jr.) sidelined early on, one favorite under-perform after the All-Star Break (Gunnar Henderson), and favorite youngsters fizzle (Jackson Holliday, Evan Carter) — Mike emerged victorious. We’ll take a look at his picks in the divisional breakdowns below.

Now, let’s look at the divisional standings.

Jim Palmer Division

Rookie Brian Bowser is your 2024 Division Champion! Brian led the division with 39 points, finishing ahead of second-place finisher Jan Larson (32 points) and third-place finisher, another rookie in Joe Sheehan (30 points). Brian won his division in part by hitting on Aaron Judge for AL MVP and getting good points for Jackson Merrill (2nd place finish, AL ROY) and AJ Hinch (3rd place finish, AL MOY). He also picked up points for his pick of Wyatt Langford as AL ROY (7th place).

The naming of a first-place award finisher prior to the season is what separated Brian from Jan. Jan also named a first-place award finisher — Chris Sale for NL Cy Young — but did so during the All Star Break, so he got fewer points for the pick. To his credit, he got points for Soto (3rd place, AL MVP), Corbin Burnes (5th place, AL Cy Young), and Hinch as well. Finishing 7 points back in this contest is not bad.

Full Standings:

Note that Jerry finishes ahead of Kevin because he submitted his preseason picks first.

Tom Seaver Division

Mike McNulty is your 2024 Division Champion! Mike tallied an impressive 51 points, locking Tarik Skubal in as his pre-season AL Cy Young award favorite and reaping the rewards when the young left-hander won the award easily. He also placed well in AL MVP voting (Soto) and in both MOY races (Quatraro, Shildt). He gained a further 7 points for picking Chris Sale for NL Cy Young at the All-Star Break.

Within the division, Mike bests fellow SABR Hornsby Chapter member Ira Siegel, who racked up 38 points. Ira had Pat Murphy as his preseason NL MOY pick, netting him 15 points, and had top 5 picks in several other races.

Full Standings:

Closing

This was a difficult year for predictions. Mike’s point total of 51, albeit more than enough to win, is a far cry from last year’s winning point total of 94. That’s what happens when popular picks get sidelined early on or underperform. But what matters is in-season performance, and Mike had plenty of that.

Congratulations to Mike! Thanks to everyone who played and start planning your 2025 picks now!

Cool Baseball Stories

(One of the Hornsby Chapter’s newest members, Brandon Olivarez, attended his first chapter meeting this month and shared that he attended the MLB winter meetings in Dallas. I asked him to share his experience with us here. – Martinez)

By Brandon Olivarez

Hi, I’m Brandon Olivarez. I am a senior at the University of Texas at Austin, majoring in economics with a minor in analytics and the business of sports. My favorite team/American League team is the Texas Rangers. I am originally from San Antonio, making my National League team, and second favorite team overall, the San Diego Padres. This is due to the San Antonio Missions being the Double-A affiliate of the Padres.

This past week, I had the pleasure of attending the MLB Winter Meetings in Dallas. It was truly an amazing experience from the people I met to the stories I heard. Going into the week, my main objective was to just meet as many people as possible, and to hopefully secure an internship with a team. There were a lot of resources for job seekers at the winter meetings, such as two separate networking events, where you could get a chance for one-on-one time with MLB organizations. Also, there were two days of panels and breakout sessions with more teams. These were all courtesy of MLB and the Diversity Program, which was great for students like myself and for early career connections.

While at the winter meetings, I also had the opportunity to watch the MLB Draft Lottery, and the Rule 5 Draft. At the latter, I was able to meet and talk to Jon Daniels, the former general manager of the Texas Rangers. I got to thank him for helping me fall in love with baseball, with the creation of the 2010-2011 Rangers team, which was surreal.

Another awesome interaction was meeting Rajai Davis at a breakout session. He talked about how if it weren’t for one coach that vouched for him while in High A ball, he would have been cut and would never have gotten the chance to play a Game 7 of a World Series. The moral of the story being: You never know who is watching, so be sure to always give 100% effort.

Overall, the experience and connections from the winter meetings was definitely worth the trip. I truly learned a lot from organizations and other job seekers when it comes to early career options to build your resume. My plan is to go again next year in Orlando.

(Have a cool baseball story related to something recent you’d like to share with the chapter? Please contact Martinez for details.)

Next meeting: The Winter Meeting!

It’s almost time for the biggest chapter event of the year – the 19th Annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting! It will be from 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. Saturday, Jan. 4, 2025, at Texas State University. More details to come on Dec. 26. Hope you can join us!

World Series Quiz

By Cy Morong

1. Who was the first player to hit 2 HRs in a World Series game?
   Patsy Dougherty           
   Harry Hooper                  
   Benny Kauff                      
   Babe Ruth

2. Who was the first player to hit 2 HRs in a World Series game in the 21^st century?
   Tim Salmon                     
   Jeff Kent                              
   Troy Glaus                        
   Ryan Howard

3. Who was the first player to hit 3 HRs in a World Series game?
   Jimmie Foxx                    
   Lou Gehrig                       
   Mel Ott                                
   Babe Ruth

4. Who was the first player to hit 3 HRs in a World Series game in the 21^st century?
   Barry Bonds                    
   Ryan Howard                  
   Albert Pujols                    
   Pablo Sandoval

5. Who was the first player to hit 4 HRs in one World Series?
   Jimmie Foxx                     
   Lou Gehrig                        
   Mel Ott                                 
   Babe Ruth

6. Who was the first player to hit 4 HRs in one World Series in the 21^st century?
   Barry Bonds                     
   Ryan Howard                  
   Albert Pujols                    
   Pablo Sandoval

7. Who was the first player to hit a Grand Slam in a World Series game?
   Elmer Smith                     
   Elmer Flick                        
   Elmer Valo                         
   Elmer Fudd

8. Who was the first player to hit a Grand Slam in a World Series game in the 21^st century?
   Chase Utley                     
   Paul Konerko                   
   Addison Russell           
   Ryan Howard

9. Who hit the first walk-off HR in World Series history?
   Bill Mazeroski                 
   Tommy Holmes            
   Joe DiMaggio                   
   Tommy Henrich

10. Who hit the first walk-off HR in the World Series in the 21^st century?
    Alex Gonzalez                 
    David Freese                   
    Scott Podsednik           
    Derek Jeter

11. Who was the first pitcher to strike out 10+ batters in World Series game?
    Bill Dinneen                     
    Bill Donovan                    
    Deacon Phillippe         
    Ed Walsh

12. Who was the first pitcher to strike out 10+ batters in World Series game in the 21^st century?
    Roger Clemens             
    Orlando Hernández   
    Randy Johnson              
    Mike Mussina

13. Who was the first pitcher to have 9+ IP & allow 2 or fewer hits in a World Series Game?
    Ed Reulbach                    
    Ed Walsh                             
    Eddie Plank                       
    Mordecai Brown

14. Who was the first pitcher to have 9+ IP & allow 2 or fewer hits in a World Series Game in the 21^st century?
    Josh Beckett                    
    Madison Bumgarner 
    Johnny Cueto                  
    Randy Johnson

15. Who was the first pitcher to win 3 games in a best of seven World Series?
    Babe Adams                    
    Jack Coombs                  
    Christy Mathewson   
    Smoky Joe Wood

16. Who was the first pitcher to win 3 games in a best of seven World Series in the 21^st century?
    Jered Weaver                  
    Josh Beckett                    
    Madison Bumgarner 
    Randy Johnson

17. Who was the first pitcher to win at least 1 game & have at least 1 save in a World Series?
    Grover Cleveland Alexander   
    Joe Page        
    Larry Sherry                      
    Doc White

18. Who was the first pitcher to win at least 1 game & have at least 1 save in a World Series in the 21^st century?
    Mariano Rivera              
    Keith Foulke                     
    Adam Wainwright       
    Madison Bumgarner

19. Who was the first team to win two World Series?
    A’s         
    Cubs                     
    Giants                                    
    Red Sox

20. Who was the first team to win two World Series in the 21^st century?
    Cardinals                            
    Giants                                    
    Red Sox              
    Yankees

Tie breakers

1. How many career World Series HRs has George Springer hit?  
2. How many career World Series HRs did Mickey Mantle hit? 
3. How many career World Series HRs did Babe Ruth hit? 

Answers

1. Patsy Dougherty  
2. Troy Glaus   
3. Babe Ruth
4. Albert Pujols  
5. Babe Ruth
6. Barry Bonds  
7. Elmer Smith   
8. Paul Konerko 
9. Tommy Henrich
10. Derek Jeter
11. Deacon Phillippe 
12. Orlando Hernández
13. Ed Reulbach
14. Johnny Cueto    
15. Christy Mathewson 
16. Randy Johnson
17. Doc White
18. Mariano Rivera
19. Cubs  
20. Red Sox

Tie breakers

1. 7
2. 18
3. 15

November 2024 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

Dodgers fans still reveling in their favorite team’s World Series triumph, fans of other teams pondering what their favorite teams might do in the off season and a fun trivia quiz involving baseball players and celebrities were among the topics of discussion at the November chapter meeting on Saturday.

Eighteen chapter members and guests met in Southwest Austin to enjoy baseball chatter and Mexican food at Serranos.

Die-hard Dodgers fans Jerry Miller and Mike Harrell (pictured above, Jerry, right) arrived decked out in the latest fashion – 2024 World Series merch.

Jerry also brought a fun quiz about the intersection of baseball and show biz. In a tough contest that was almost too tough to call, Cy Morong edged out another Dodgers fan, Dan Walsh, by one point, 36 to 35 to take top honors. Don Dingee was third with 33 points. Tom Thayer was the only other contestant in the 30s with 30 points. Gary McIntosh placed fifth with 28 points. Jerry brought Dodgers-related memorabilia as prizes.

 

Take your swing at Jerry’s quiz below (the answers immediately follow the questions) and see if you can top our heavy hitters.

2024 Chapter Predictatron Winners

Raise the Jolly Roger!

By Jim Baker

In what seemed like an inevitable conclusion for most of the season—but actually came within three games of not happening—Mr. Rogers has won the 2024 Hornsby Chapter Predictatron. Is it fitting that someone named Rogers wins it in a chapter named for Rogers Hornsby? Perhaps. He led the way by a good margin for the majority of the season, only to be threatened at the very end by the possibility of a Yankees World Championship. If New York had prevailed, then Mr. Dillon would have eked out the 832-831 victory.

Not only will Mr. Rogers get to take possession of the big trophy, he also successfully defended the naming rights to his division. So, next season, we’ll have the Brian Rogers Division again, joined this time by the Eric Robinson Division. Eric earned this right by way of winning the Raeanne Martinez Division in fairly convincing fashion. Runner-up Mr. Gay made it look closer than it actually was with an impressive postseason run that saw him rise from fifth place all the way to second. (For her part, Ms. Martinez put on a spirited defense of her division, but ended the season in third place.)

These players had the best postseason showings, led by Mr. Walsh, who leveraged this output into a second-place finish in the Rogers Division and the second-best score in the contest entire:

Most points added in the postseason:

40 Dan Walsh
28 Ryan Pollack
28 Scott Gay
28 Jerry Miller
28 Mike Harrell
24 Mike Dillon
24 Jan Larson

Five players correctly named the World Champion back in March:

Scott Gay
Mike Harrell
Jerry Miller
Ryan Pollack
Dan Walsh

Among them, though, only Mr. Walsh foretold a Dodgers-over-Yankees World Series. Mr. Dillon and Mr. Larson correctly predicted a Dodgers-Yankees Series but got the winner wrong.

In the end, we finished with an average score of 781 points each and a median of 785. There was very little difference between the averages of the two divisions, but the top three scorers were in the Brian Rogers Division.

The great thing about Predictatron is that you get to start all over from scratch again next season. 2025 don’t care what you done in 2024. This year’s bottom dweller can easily end up holding the big trophy at our meeting in January of 2026, so see you next year!

Postseason Predictatron Tourney: Ryan Pollack rules the roost

Ryan Pollack thought he had the contest in the bag after Monday night when the Dodgers were leading 3-0. The only way he could lose was if the Yankees made the greatest comeback in World Series history and won the next four games, in which case Mike Dillon would have been our champion. The Yankees gave his confidence a crease by winning Game 4 in convincing fashion. Then, when they jumped all over Jack Flaherty and built a 5-0 lead in Game 5, he really began to wonder if he was going to lose the contest to a miracle.

Instead, the 2024 running of the Hornsby Chapter Postseason Tourney titled back in his direction in a most infamous manner and the Dodgers prevailed 7-6, giving Ryan the title. In so doing, he named six of the seven series correctly, missing only on the Phillies-Mets LDS. He nailed the ALCS perfectly and lost just one point in the NLCS and the World Series. His 37-point showing ties him for sixth all time. He joins the 30-point club for the second time, having scored 35 on his way to a fourth-place finish in 2020. Only 16 players have scored 30 or more points since the contest began in 2007, and that’s in over 250 entries.

Our 2024 runner-up is Mike Harrell, the only player to correctly pick a five-game Dodger win in the World Series (albeit against the Tigers). The other two players who predicted a Los Angeles triumph were Gary McIntosh, who finished third, and Raeanne Martinez, who came in fourth. This is Mike’s first foray into the contest and it was a decided success.

This marks the first title for Ryan. His previous best showing in the standings was in 2017 when he came in second with a score of 27. Among active players (those who have played at least once in the last five seasons), Ryan now also has the best average, coming in at 14.50 per season. Among all players who played in a minimum of three contests, only the late Bill Gilbert (16.70) and the late three-time champion Craig Lukshin (16.13) are better.

With this victory, Ryan’s name is now added to the list of exalted victors.

Year	Champion	Points
2007	Craig Lukshin (1)	42
2008	Tom Wancho (1)	37
2009	Dan Walsh	24
2010	Craig Lukshin (2)	27
2011	Monte Cely	28
2012	Jan Larson	27
2013	Bill Gilbert	*46*
2014	Raeanne Martinez	-2
2015	Jim Baker (1)	17
2016	David Skelton	37
2017	Jim Baker (2)	44
2018	Jim Baker (3)	33
2019	Craig Lukshin (3)	28
2020	Tom Wancho (2)	42
2021	Gilbert Martinez	7
2022	David Curtoys	19
2023	Frank Rechtorovic	16
2024	Ryan Pollack	37

Cool Baseball Stories: My Trip to the 2024 World Series Games 4 & 5

By Ira Siegel

Upon waking up Sunday morning Oct. 27, after the New York Yankees were down 0-2 to the Los Angeles Dodgers, it became obvious that having lived the thrill of being at Game 6 in 1996 (when the Yankees lost the first two games at home and the Atlanta Braves had three future HOF starting pitchers), I had to go to New York or I’d never forgive myself if they came back to win this Series.  Breakfast was quick, airfare and hotel reservations were already made, and StubHub had been scoured the past few days.  Tickets were rapidly purchased.  It’s what we live for!

After watching Game 3’s loss from my hotel room, things were really going to be difficult…but not impossible. After two trains to get to Yankee Stadium and over a half hour of switchbacks to enter the ballpark, it was an exuberant atmosphere.  Freddie Freeman homered in the 1st and L.A. had a 3-0 lead until Anthony Volpe hit a grand slam and Yankee Stadium was rocking.  The Dodgers made in 5-4 in the 5th, so it was a nail-biter until the Yankees’ 5-run 8th.  My section was high-fiving the last nine outs like we all knew each other.  Sinatra was doing a loud and long version of “New York, New York,” accompanied by thousands of exuberant fans, that was heard until entering the subway.  I was so glad I was there!

Pandemonium broke out inside Yankee Stadium in Game 5 as they had an early 5-0 lead, Gerrit Cole seemed to be in total command, and getting back to L.A. for Game 6 seemed like a sure thing… but it’s baseball.  Cole was huge in picking up his teammates’ two errors but then didn’t cover first.  The rest is history.  It was a tight game, but they gave it away.  They should’ve won both Game 1 (lost due to defensive miscues by Soto and Torres) and Game 5, then flown to California up 3-2, but the Dodgers capitalized on the Yankees’ mistakes.

I’ve now been to four World Series clinchers. I’m a lucky guy. I was at Game 4 of the Big Red Machine’s 1976 sweep of the Yankees.  Seeing the Yankees clinch at home in 1996 and in San Diego in 1998 are memories of unbridled joy.  2024 is a lesson in “you can’t win them all,” but I made the right decision that Sunday morning.

(Have a cool baseball story related to something recent you’d like to share with the chapter? Please contact Gilbert D. Martinez for details.)

Call for Submissions

The National Pastime: Baseball in Texas/Oklahoma 

Steve West with the Banks-Bragan Chapter in the Dallas/Fort Worth area will be the co-editor of The National Pastime: Baseball in Texas/Oklahoma. He is putting out a call for submissions for the publication.

By Steve West

The 2025 SABR national convention will take place in Dallas/Fort Worth from June 25 to 29, 2025. The 2025 issue of The National Pastime will focus on the region, which includes not only the DFW Metroplex but also North, Central, and West Texas, as well as Oklahoma and perhaps even parts of Louisiana and Arkansas (but not Houston or South Texas). Basically, if it is covered by the Rangers Radio Network, we’re interested.

Texas and Oklahoma have a long history of baseball. The origins of the Texas League go back to 1888, and dozens of professional and semiprofessional leagues have existed over the decades. College baseball leagues have appeared in the records almost as long. The two states have produced hundreds of major leaguers between them, along with their fair share of Hall of Famers (note that articles about well-known players like Mickey Mantle would need to break new ground, not merely reproduce old stories). The Rangers themselves have won three pennants and their first World Series. Former Rangers owner George W. Bush even became president.

As always, everything is bigger in Texas, and we are seeking a mix of topics showcasing the diversity of baseball throughout the region. We’re looking for articles which may feature major, minor, or Negro league baseball, along with college, high school, and more. Research articles could be historical, biographical, or statistical, but please avoid personal narrative.

This issue of The National Pastime will be co-edited by Steve West and Publications Director Cecilia Tan. To submit an article idea or abstract please fill out the form linked here by Dec. 15. Only submissions sent using the online portal will be considered. Authors will be notified of accepted submissions shortly afterwards, with first drafts due no later than Feb. 1, and rewrites (if needed) will be due by April 15, 2025.

Queries should include a paragraph about the topic, an explanation of its importance to the region, a brief description of why you are interested in it, the resources you intend to use, and what of your research is original. Topics should not duplicate previously published work without significantly expanding the research.

The length for TNP articles is 1,500 to 2,500 words – the size of a midterm paper, not a master’s thesis. Please estimate how long you expect your article to be. If you are given a word count limit by the editor, you must stick to it.

For full writers guidelines and details on how to prep your manuscript for submission, click here. Remember that to be published in a SABR journal, your SABR membership must be current.

Next meeting

Join us for the last meeting of the year at 1 p.m. Sunday, Dec. 15, at County Line on the Lake (5204 RM 2222, Austin). A meeting announcement will go out via the chapter list asking for RSVPs in early December.

Also, please make plans to join us for the 19th Annual Bill Gilbert Winter Meeting on Saturday, Jan. 4, 2025, at Texas State University! Winter meeting coordinator Jerry Miller is working on a fun day filled with baseball memories, presentations and stories. More details to come next month.

Baseball and Show Biz Quiz

By Jerry Miller

Although the gridiron romance of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce has gotten much of the recent ink, baseball too has a history of connections with Hollywood or other parts of the entertainment world. Let’s see how much you know about the intersection of ballpark and celebrity. Quiz total is 40 points.

1. An easy one to get you started: which Hall of Famer was married (briefly) to the preeminent Hollywood sex symbol of the day, and the star of “Gentlemen Prefer Blondes?”

2. And for a more recent example, name the likely Cooperstown-bound right-handed pitcher who is Mr. Kate Upton.

3. Continuing with the marriage theme, name the Hall of Fame manager from the 40s, 50s, and 60s that was married to actress Larraine Day.

4. Turning to offspring, name the recently deceased host of the game show “Hollywood Squares,” and his baseball playing son. (One point each).

5. And while we’re at it, name the star relief pitcher who was on the mound for the first World Series clinching win of his franchise, and his son, a modern mega-country music star. (One point each.)

6. Speaking of country music, what does singer Garth Brooks have in common, baseball wise, with comedians Billy Crystal and Will Farrell?

7. Going back to when baseball teams were owned by individuals rather than conglomerates, name the original owner of the Los Angeles Angels who was known as “The Singing Cowboy.”

8. Continuing with the American League West, what singer and comedian once owned the Seattle Mariners, and wrote and performed a famous song about the 1960s-era Dodgers?

9. This famous singer was a former part owner of the Pittsburgh Pirates. While on tour overseas, he arranged to record Game 7 of the 1960 World Series. His tape – the only complete video of that game – was only recently discovered, and he is alone responsible for our ability to watch the whole game, culminating in Bill Mazeroski’s Series-winning home run.

10. Although the Pirates and Cleveland Indians never met in the World Series, this comedian, along with the answer to #9, appeared together in a series of famous “road” movies.

11. This first baseman for the Chicago Cubs and Brooklyn Dodgers was also a member of the NBA champion Boston Celtics, but became more famous for starring in a 1960s TV western series.

12. This former infielder played ten years in the major leagues, mostly for the St. Louis Browns, and later starred for 33 years in the soap opera “General Hospital.”

13. Match each of the modern-day stars below with their favorite baseball team. (One point each)

Joan Jett                                  Los Angeles Dodgers

Jon Hamm                               Boston Red Sox

Bryan Cranston                       Oakland (Sacramento?) A’s

Ben Affleck                              San Francisco Giants

Colin Hanks                             St. Louis Cardinals

Denzel Washington                 Baltimore Orioles

Tom Hanks                              New York Yankees

14. We all know that the late Chadwick Boseman played Jackie Robinson in the movie “42.” Who played Jackie in the 1950 film “The Jackie Robinson Story”?

15. We also know that Robert Redford played Roy Hobbs in “The Natural.” But which Hall of Fame pitcher was a high school classmate of Redford’s in Southern California?

16. And while we’re at it, which former Rookie of the Year was an “extra” in “The Natural?”

17. Match the actor with the real-life baseball player he played. (One point each)

Paul Rudd                                Lou Gehrig in “Pride of the Yankees”

Dennis Quaid                          Shoeless Joe Jackson in “Field of Dreams”

Gary Cooper                            Branch Rickey in “42″

Ray Liotta                                Ty Cobb in “Cobb”

John Cusack                            “Moonlight” Graham in “Field of Dreams”

Harrison Ford                          Art Howe in “Moneyball”

John Goodman                        Buck Weaver in “Eight Men Out”

Burt Lancaster                         Moe Berg in “The Catcher Was A Spy”

Phillip Seymour Hoffman        Jim Morris in “The Rookie”

Tommy Lee Jones                    Babe Ruth in “The Babe”

18. And finally, match the actor with the fictional ballplayer he played. (One point each).

Kevin Costner                          Stan Ross in “Mr. 3000″

Charlie Sheen                          Billy Chapel in “For Love of the Game”

Tom Hanks                              Nuke LaLoosh in “Bull Durham”

Tim Robbins                            Jimmy Dugan in “A League of Their Own”

Bernie Mac                              Mr. Mertle in “The Sandlot”

Tom Selleck                             Ricky “Wild Thing” Vaughn in “Major League”

James Earl Jones                     Jack Elliot in “Mr. Baseball”

ANSWERS

1. Joe DiMaggio (married Marilyn Monroe January 1954; she filed for divorce nine months later)
2. Justin Verlander
3. Leo Durocher
4. Peter Marshall and Pete LaCock
5. Tug and Tim McGraw
6. They all played in major league spring training games.
7. Gene Autry
8. Danny Kaye
9. Bing Crosby
10. Bob Hope
11. Chuck Connors
12. Johnny Beradino (alternate spellings acceptable)
13. Jett – Orioles; Hamm – Cardinals; Cranston – Dodgers; Affleck – Red Sox; Colin Hanks – Giants; Washington – Yankees; Tom Hanks – Athletics
14. Jackie Robinson (he played himself)
15. Don Drysdale, Van Nuys High
16. “Super Joe” Charbonneau
17. Rudd – Berg; Quaid – Morris; Cooper – Gehrig; Liotta – Jackson; Cusack – Weaver; Ford – Rickey; Goodman – Ruth; Lancaster – Graham; Hoffman – Howe; Jones – Cobb
18. Costner – Chapel; Sheen – Vaughn; Hanks – Dugan; Robbins – LaLoosh; Mac – Ross; Selleck – Elliot

October 2024 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

As part of a longtime chapter tradition, fourteen chapter members and guests gathered to watch World Series Game 2 on Saturday, pitting diehard Dodgers fan Jerry Miller against diehard Yankees fan Ira Siegel.

In a close game that got tighter when the Yankees’ bats awoke to mount a ninth-inning rally, Jerry gave us a nearly pitch-by-pitch rendition of the Dodgers’ win-probability percentage while Ira took renewed interest in the game. Alas for Ira and Yankees fans, the Dodgers held on for a 4-2 win, taking a two-games-to-none lead.

But the victory may have come at a steep cost as superstar Shohei Ohtani injured his shoulder attempting to steal second base in the seventh inning. It remains to be seen if he’ll return when the World Series resumes in the Bronx on Monday.

Jerry said he’s hopeful that his team can win at least one game in New York, while Ira remembers World Series in which the team that sprinted out to a quick 2-0 lead has gone on to lose the series, including in a prior matchup between the Yankees and the Dodgers. Jerry said he’s well aware of the history, but admitted that he likes his team’s chances two games in.

In other words, both have high hopes.

As he has long done, gracious and generous host Jim Baker provided dinner, this time yummy New Jersey-style pies from Saccone’s Pizza, while Linda and Monte Cely shared a scrumptious chocolate trifle and Ira brought homemade oatmeal raisin cookies. Others brought beverages and snacks.

We also remembered Dodgers ace Fernando Valenzuela, the winner of the 1981 National League Cy Young and Rookie of the Year. El Toro died on Oct. 22.

We also heard from Jan Larson, who was unable to join us as he recovers from a recent surgery. Monte Cely shared a note from Jan during a mid-inning commercial break.

“I’m sorry that I’m forced to miss Jim’s soirée,” Jan wrote. “Unless you’re a diehard Dodgers fan, please root for the Yankees. After all, their fans have gone 15 years since their last World Series!”

It was great to hear from Jan, who serves on the chapter’s leadership team as a director. We wish him a quick recovery and hope to see him again soon.

This was the 215th consecutive month in which the chapter has met. This was also the 12th time Jim Baker has hosted a World Series watch party at his home. Thanks so much, Jim!

Not only did Jim host and feed us, he also unveiled a Yankees-Dodgers World Series themed quiz, which may have favored superfans Jerry Miller and Ira Siegel. In fact, Jerry took top billing with a score of 25, barely edging Tom Thayer, who had 24. Ira took third with 21 points.

Think you can do better? Give it a try at the end of this newsletter (answers immediately follow the questions).

Predictatron update: A Mike Dillon Miracle?

By Jim Baker (shared on Oct. 22 prior to the start of the World Series)

With the World Series looming, we are combining the updates on our two contests because they are linked by one incredible-but-still-possible feat: Mike Dillon can win both of them if things break exactly right for him!

First, the easy one: If the Yankees win the World Series, Mike will pull off one of the great comebacks in the history of this contest and nip long-time leader Brian Rodgers to win Predictatron by a score of 832-831. For that contest, the game count doesn’t matter.

It does, however, matter a great deal for the Postseason Tourney. If the Yankees also win the World Series in seven games, Mike will be our champion there as well, and will head home from our January meeting in San Marcos loaded down with a ton of hardware.

In any of the other three Yankee-win outcomes, Ryan Pollack is the champion. Ryan is also the champion in the event of a Dodgers victory, so you have to like his chances right about now. Here are the four Yankee win scenarios:

Ryan wins outright in a four- or five-game Series and wins by virtue of the tiebreaker if the Yankees win in six, as the total number of games in the 2024 playoffs will then match his prediction of 35 exactly. As you can see, it’s only in the seven-game Series that Mike gets his full 10 points, which is enough to beat Ryan.

Getting back to the main contest, a Dodgers victory will allow Brian Rogers to keep his big lead and take home the big trophy. Regardless of the Series outcome, though, Eric Robinson wins the Raeanne Martinez Division, which will—by tradition (or maybe it’s by law)—be known as the Eric Robinson Division in 2025.

This chart shows where everyone will finish in Predictatron in the two remaining World Champion outcomes:

The player with the biggest swing between the two eventualities is Ira Siegel. Picking the Yankees to win it all will land him in third place if they actually follow through on his prediction, but consign him to eighth if they don’t. Scott Gay has a four-place difference going the other way.

Here are the full standings for the Postseason Tourney in both their possible iterations.

If the Yankees win the World Series
(note that the four players who have the Yankees winning it all can lose up to two points each, depending on the length of the Series):

If the Dodgers win the World Series
(Note that the four players who have the Dodgers winning it all can lose up to two points each, depending on the length of the Series.) Second place will go to either Gary McIntosh or Mike Harrell and will depend heavily on the Series length as they are both tied with 28 possible points at the moment. Mike gets the runner-up spot in a four- and five-game Series as Gary will lose two points in those scenarios. Gary wins out in a seven-game series. If the Dodgers win in six, Mike wins the tiebreaker for being closer to the total game count of 35.

 

Announcing Ryan Pollack’s Contractatron contest!

(Editor’s note: Deadline alert! The deadline is noon the day after the last World Series game, which could come as soon as Wednesday, Oct. 30, in the event of a Dodgers sweep!)

By Ryan Pollack

🎩 STEP RIGHT UP, FOLKS! 🎩

Gather ’round, ladies and gentlemen, and feast your eyes on the MOST thrilling, the MOST dazzling, the MOST sensational contest of the baseball offseason – IT’S THE CONTRACTATRON! 🤹‍♂️⚾️

Yes, sir, yes, ma’am, it’s your chance to outguess the experts, outwit the wise guys, and predict the biggest free-agent contracts in all the land! Can you guess how many of those glorious greenbacks, those delightful dollars, those stacked sawbucks, the mightiest ballplayers in the world will land? 

Well, step right up and test your wits in this rip-roarin’, high-flyin’ extravaganza!

🎪 HOW DO YA PLAY, YA ASK? 🎪

1. FOR THESE 10 PLAYERS, predict their contracts with your finest crystal-ball skills!
2. SCORIN’ IS SIMPLE! We’ll judge ya on how close you can get to the real deal! The closer you are, the lower and better your score – it’s as easy as pie! We measure the difference between the predicted and actual contracts as a percentage of the actual contract, and the smaller the number, the better!

EXAMPLES, YOU SAY?

1. • You guess Charles “Horseface” Johnson will get $500M, but he only gets $300M. That’s a 66.7% score! ($200M miss divided by the $300M contract)
   • You guess Ambrose “Cranky Ankle” Smith will get $5M, but he ends up with $6M. That’s a 16.7% score! ($1M miss divided by the $6M contract)
   • You guess “Smilin’” Wilbur Abernathy will get $100M, but he ends up with $92.8M. That’s a 7.8% score! ($7.2M miss divided by the $92.8M contract) 
   • Average ’em out and ya get a final score of 30.4%! Ain’t that somethin’?! Is it more accurate than your fellow contestants’?! You’ll have to wait to find out!!

1. TIE-BREAKERS?! If it’s neck and neck, we’ll settle it the old-fashioned way: whoever submitted their entry first wins! It’s all about timing, folks!

🎉 RULES AND REGULATIONS, NOW DON’T FORGET ’EM! 🎉

• ONLY THE GUARANTEED BUCKS COUNT! We’re talkin’ cold, hard cash, no incentives, no team or mutual options, no escalators – and certainly no conditional salaries! (Player opt-outs are counted as part of the contract though, because they are guaranteed.)
• DON’T WORRY ABOUT DEFERRALS! Contract include mega deferrals? No need to do fancy math! Just use the total reported value! (Example: Because of deferrals, Ohtani’s $700M contract is valued at $460M for luxury tax purposes. Contractatron would judge you on the $700M reported value.)
• MAJOR LEAGUE MONEY ONLY! None of that minor league mumbo-jumbo here!
• QUALIFYIN’ OFFERS ARE FAIR GAME! If a player accepts one, it counts!
• AND IF THEY DON’T HIT FREE AGENCY? Why, then we never heard of ’em! Gone, forgotten, erased!
• NO EXTENSIONS ALLOWED! It’s free agency or bust, folks!

🎈 CONTEST BEGINS WHEN?! 🎈
Your entries are due at high noon CST, the day after the last scheduled game of the World Series – that’s right, folks, don’t delay, don’t dilly-dally! If it’s a sweep, your ballots are due at noon the day after Game 4 starts! (If a player signs before this time, poof! They’re gone from the contest!)

We’ll tally the results at 9 a.m. (Central Standard Time) on Opening Day of the U.S.-based season or after all 10 free agents sign, whichever comes first! Any signings that happen after that? Why, they’re as good as erased! Overseas MLB games? Japan, Korea, Australia? Bah! They don’t count for this here contest!

=====

So, step right up! Roll up your sleeves, sharpen those pencils, and let’s see who’s got the sharpest mind in the land when it comes to predictin’ those big money contracts! 

It’s the Contractatron, folks – the contest that’ll have ya on the edge of your seat all winter long! 🎺🎉

Submit your guesses here! Time’s a-wastin’! 

Next meeting

Our next chapter meeting will be at 1 p.m. Sunday, Nov. 17, at Serranos (at MoPac and Ben White). This will come just prior to MLB’s announcement of the sport’s biggest awards that week. A meeting announcement and call for RSVPs will come at the beginning of November. Hope you can join us!

Yankees versus Dodgers in the World Series Quiz

By Jim Baker

Part I: General Stuff (3 total points)

2024 marks the twelfth World Series matchup between the Dodgers and Yankees, the most in history. How many of these took place before the Dodgers moved to Los Angeles?

How many of the plethora of Yankee World titles have come against the Dodgers?

Which two teams have met the second-most times in the World Series?

Part II: The First Time They Met (4 total points)

In what year was the first Dodgers-Yankees World Series?

The first-ever World Series home run hit by a Dodger against the Yankees (and the only one they had in this Series) came off the bat of this very talented young player who was infamous for crashing into walls at high speed, a practice that shortened his very promising career considerably.

While Hall of Famers Bill Dickey, Phil Rizzuto and Joe DiMaggio went a combined 10-for-55 with just one XBH, this fourth Hall of Famer and second baseman picked up their slack by pacing the World Champion Yankees with a Series OPS of 1.595.

With Brooklyn on the verge of tying the Series at two games apiece, a missed third strike by this Dodgers catcher with two outs in the ninth and the Dodgers leading in Game Four is one of the more infamous moments in World Series history and one he never really lived down as Tommy Heinrich reached first base and the Yankees went on to win the game and the Series.

Part III: The Last Time Before This Time (7 total points)

In what year was the last Dodgers-Yankees World Series before this one?

The last time these two teams met in the Series, the Dodgers had a famous infield that played together as a unit for eight-and-a-half seasons, culminating in this Series. Name all four for the four-point credit. No partial credit. It’s all or nothing!

1b________________________     2b________________________

3b________________________      ss_________________________

This Yankee was charged with three losses in that Series, the only man to do so when not actively involved in throwing the proceedings. (Looking at you, Lefty Williams…)

a.) Ron Davis b.) Rich Gossage   c.) George Frazier   d.) Terry Forster

Holy Dal Maxvill, Batman! This Hall of Famer went 1-for-22 in the Series (although he did have five walks) and, when he finally got a single in the last game to break his oh-for-20 schneid, he had the chutzpah to ask for the ball!

Part IV: Larsen’s Perfect Game (8 total points)

On October 8, 1956, Don Larsen of the Yankees pitched a perfect game against the Dodgers, winning 2-0. In which game of the World Series did it come?

This man, who was more famous for playing for another New York team, was the opposing pitcher against Larsen.

Name as many of the five Hall of Famers who went 0-for-3 against Larsen that day as you can. One point each.

1______________________  2______________________  3______________________  4______________________ 5______________________

Who gave the Yankees the only run they would need with a solo home run in the fourth inning?

Part V: The Rest of Them (9 total points)

In Game Four of the 1947 Series, this Yankee hurler almost threw the first no-hitter in World Series history. Instead, the last of the 10 (!) walks he issued finally caught up with him as he followed it by surrendering a walk-off pinch double to Cookie Lavagetto with two outs in the ninth to give Brooklyn the 3-2 victory. (He pitched once more in the Series in relief and then never appeared in another Major League game.)

a.) Bobo Newsom b.) Bill Bevans   c.) Cuddles Marshall   d.) Charles “Butch” Wensloff

In the 1952 World Series, this Yankee infielder speared a bases-loaded Dodger pop fly at the last possible moment to preserve a Yankee lead (and eventual victory) in the seventh inning of Game Seven. The following year, his walk-off hit won Game Six and—at the same time— yet another World Series title against the Dodgers.

With a huge showing in the Game Six clincher of the 1977 World Series, Yankee Reggie Jackson became the first player to ever do this in World Series history. For an extra two points, can you name the only other player who has done it since? (The second player was not a member of the of the Yankees or Dodgers when he did it.)

In 1963, the Dodgers had a slash line of only .214/.279/.350, but still managed to sweep the Yankees out of the Series. Naturally, Sandy Koufax (2) and Don Drysdale (1) got three of the four wins. Who got the fourth win for the Dodgers? Hint: he famously pitched the deciding game in their first-ever World Title in 1955, blanking the Yankees 2-0 in that one.

The first-ever walk-off grand slam in a World Series game took place in a Dodgers-Yankees contest. Who hit it?

In the 1949 meetup between the Yankees and Dodgers, the Hall of Fame trio of Joe DiMaggio (2-for-18), Phil Rizzuto (3-for-18) and Yogi Berra (1-for 16) had a rough go, leaving it to this player—who once addressed this very body—to lead the New York regulars with a slash line of .500/.571/.917.

If you really want to see who had a great World Series, check cWPA (Championship Win Probability Added) on baseball-reference.com. The two men who had the highest numbers in this all-important category for in the 1978 Dodgers-Yankees match-up was this unlikely New York keystone combo, who both hit over .400 with CWPAs of 18.43% and 14.93%. (For comparison, Reggie Jackson was 8.43% and Graig Nettles was -17.38%.)

General stuff (3)

Seven: 1941, 1947, 1949, 1952, 1953, 1955 and 1956

Eight: 1941, 1947, 1949, 1952, 1953, 1956, 1977 and 1978

Giants and Yankees: 1921, 1922, 1923, 1936, 1937, 1951, 1962 

The First Time (4)

1941

Pete Reiser

Joe Gordon

Mickey Owen

The Last Time Before This Time (7)

1981

Steve Garvey, Davey Lopes, Bill Russell, Ron Cey

George Frazier

Dave Winfield

Larsen’s Perfect Game (8)

Game 5

Sal Maglie

Jackie Robinson, PeeWee Reese, Duke Snider, Gil Hodges, Roy Campanella

Mickey Mantle

The Rest of Them (9)

Bill Bevans

Billy Martin

Hit five homers in a Series. Chase Utley, 2009 Phillies

Johnny Podres

Freddie Freeman, Friday night (Oct. 25, 2024)

Dr. Bobby Brown

Bucky Dent and Brian Doyle

 

September 2024 Newsletter

By Gilbert D. Martinez

As the season winds down and playoff races heat up, eighteen chapter members and guests chatted about everything baseball at the September chapter meeting.

By virtue of having won the previous chapter quiz, quizmaster Jerry Miller thought of some of the biggest moments in baseball history and turned his attention to the footnotes. He challenged us with 13 multi-part questions.

Jim Baker (pictured above, left) emerged victorious with 16 points (out of 34), followed by Jan Larson with 13 and Mike Dillon with 12. For prizes, Jerry presented vintage team posters; Jim claimed the Mets and Jan, donning a sharp Chicago White Sox cap, chose the Southsiders.

Take a swing at Jerry’s quiz by downloading this document (note: the answer follow the quiz): Jerry Miller’s September 2024 quiz

This was the 214th consecutive month with a chapter meeting, a streak that dates to December 2006.

MVP contests over, or not?

I conducted an informal poll of the group to find out which players they thought would win the AL and NL MVP awards. There continues to be strong support for the Yankees’ Aaron Judge and the Dodgers’ Shohei Ohtani for their respective league awards, but some have suggested that other players may challenge them. I wondered what our group thought with about two weeks left in the season.

Support was overwhelming – but not unanimous – in our group. Judge and Ohtani both received 14 out of 16 votes (87.5%). The Royals’ Bobby Witt Jr. and the Mets’ Francisco Lindor each received one vote. One participant wrote in the Royals’ Freddy Fermín and the Dodgers’ Miguel Rojas.

We won’t know until November whether we got it right. We’ll also find out how well (or not!) we did in Ryan Pollack’s Awardatron contest, in which we tried to predict the major award winners before the start of the season.

Bailey Hall poster presentation win and beyond

As you know, chapter member Bailey Hall won best poster presentation at SABR 52 last month for her study evaluating which is worse, leadoff walks or leadoff singles. She’s also been featured in Ben Lindbergh’s Effectively Wild podcast on FanGraphs: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-2204-is-a-leadoff-walk-worse-than-a-hit/

But that’s not all! Ryan Pollack shared that Bailey earned high praise as an aspiring saberist by Tom Tango, senior data architect for MLB and creator of the WAR framework and metrics such as wOBA, FIP, and Leverage Index:

http://tangotiger.com/index.php/site/comments/leadoff-walk-v-single

And! Because of the attention her poster received at SABR 52 and online, she’s been invited to contribute to North Side Baseball, a blog about the Chicago Cubs. Her first contribution, in which she focused her leadoff single/leadoff walk study on the 2024 Cubs, was published online Sept. 4: https://northsidebaseball.com/news-rumors/chicago-cubs/which-is-more-costly-for-the-2024-cubs-leadoff-singles-or-leadoff-walks-r1089/

Congratulations, Bailey!

Dispatches from SABR 52

I asked Bailey Hall and Mike Lassman, both of whom attended SABR 52 in Minneapolis, to share their impressions of the annual national convention.

By Bailey Hall

Hey everybody! Bailey here, and my family and I just went to our first ever SABR national convention, and so I figured I would give everyone a little review! I won’t be able to tell y’all all the cool things we did, so I’ll just focus on the best parts.

The conference was three days in downtown Minneapolis, and every day was filled with tons of events like baseball games, panels, research talks, happy hours and so much more! We had an amazing time, and let this be a PSA to everyone that we should all go next year because it’s in Dallas, so I’m sure more of us might be able to attend.

The first day had some amazing panelists including a Twins hitters panel with Tony Oliva and Rod Carew and a Twins pitchers panel with Bert Blyleven, Jim Kaat, Glen Perkins, and LaTroy Hawkins. The hitters panel was unbelievably cool because we got to hear from some of baseball’s greatest hitters of all time! They talked about being roommates for 11 seasons, the harsh realities of being players of color, and the process of being inducted into the National Baseball Hall of Fame.

They commented on Reggie Jackson’s recent appearance at Rickwood Field, and they both agreed with Jackson’s assertions about playing in a segregated world. Lastly, we went to the pitchers panel, which I think was my favorite. They commented on pitchers getting hurt more and more, basically saying that there wasn’t much to be done to stop injuries. They said that since pitchers know they can pitch faster and faster, the risk of injury won’t slow them down. Instead, they said medicine needed to learn how to make injuries “recoverable” and make it easier to get back into the game, especially if a pitcher’s shoulder blows out.

That night, we went to a St. Paul Saints game, and we loved it! The stadium was beautiful, with this cool glass structure holding up the suites that gave it a very futuristic feel. The Saints won, and I will say that by the end of the game, my parents and I were downright freezing! Minnesota is no Texas :). The next morning, we went to another panel of the Saints’ office staff. It was really interesting to hear how running a Triple-A team is different from a major league team because the focus is more on entertainment than purely baseball. They mentioned their most successful theme nights that attracted tons of press, most notably bobble-foot night for the anniversary of “Footloose” and a food fight night. Later that day, I got to go to the Twins front office and learn about things that are run there, which was very interesting. I learned about the player development side of the business and how to translate the hard statistics to digestible and tangible things to work on from the coaching side. We also went to a Twins game after that, where the Twins won and they played fireworks after the game!

On the last day, I heard probably my favorite talk given by a fellow SABR member titled “Where did the 24 Minutes Go?” by David W. Smith, and it explained how MLB was able to cut down game time in recent years. I then had to go answer questions about my poster because it was time for the poster Q&A, and I met some really nice people who had really interesting questions! My poster was about leadoff walks versus leadoff singles, and it was really fun to be able to debate with everyone about it. The conference commenced with closing ceremonies like the trivia championship, awards and closing thoughts from the SABR board.

Overall, I had a wonderful time in Minneapolis and at the conference, and I highly suggest anyone who hasn’t been to attend at least one just to see what it’s all about!

By Mike Lassman

The Society for American Baseball Research conducted the 52^nd edition of its convention from Aug. 7 to 11, in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Attendees from across Canada and the U.S. visited the Twin Cities to partake in discussion, analysis, baseball history and analysis.

Baseball-Reference sponsored the welcome reception. Fans in attendance discussed the Oakland to Sacramento to Las Vegas movement. Where else would you discuss the organization movement, but also go back in time to talk about the 1922 St. Louis Browns club that featured sluggers George Sisler and Ken Williams?

The reception was just the start of a very memorable convention. Attendees were able to walk to Target Field to see the Guardians and the Twins and take a bus to see the Columbus Clippers play the St. Paul Saints. Both the Minnesota Twins and St. Paul Saints organizations took immense pride by providing tremendous panel members from both front offices.

Twins Hall of Famers Tony Oliva and Rod Carew participated in a hitter’s panel. Oliva and Carew were roomies for 11 years. After Carew made it to the big leagues, he told Oliva that he would end up with more batting titles than Oliva. Despite the prediction, Oliva helped his roommate tie his first tie on a road trip. Carew was so inspired that he would wear the same tie for three years on road trips without adjusting the tie. Oliva talked about his resilience. The Twins released the future Hall of Famer and Oliva went back to Cuba prior to making it to the major leagues. Both Oliva and Carew told delightful stories about their time in the big leagues. Carew talked about Calvin Griffith promising him the second base job when Carew was playing in the Carolina League. The Twins were one of the first teams to charter flights instead of commercial ones.

Bert Blyleven briefly interrupted the dialogue and asked what the panel knew about hitting. Eventually, Blyleven, Jim Kaat, LaTroy Hawkins and Glen Perkins started their pitching panel. Whitey Ford graciously taught Kaat how to change his grip on a fastball. Blyleven received similar mentoring from pitching coach Marv Grissom who placed a chair next to Blyleven so that he would land correctly. The pitchers commented on the different conditioning that pitchers did in the old days. Kaat discussed analytics by commenting that players should be data informed instead of data driven.

The agenda included a fantastic panel on women in baseball. Melissa Ludtke spoke about her attempt to gain access to the Yankees and Dodgers during the 1977 World Series. Despite the teams permitting access, Bowie Kuhn did not allow it. Reggie Jackson provided accommodation by allowing Ludtke to interview him in his automobile on the way to a game. Eventually, a judge ordered equal access for female reporters.

The convention concluded with Hornsby Chapter member Bailey Hall winning the Poster Presentation Award regarding leadoff hits and walks. Congratulations, Bailey!

Minor League Baseball News

Andy York, a Round Rock Express season ticket holder, shared news from the Rangers’ Triple-A affiliate that the 2025 schedule includes series against teams from the International League: the Toledo Mud Hens (Triple-A affiliate of the Detroit Tigers), the Charlotte Knights (Triple-A affiliate of the Chicago White Sox) and St. Paul Saints (Triple-A affiliate of the Minnesota Twins). The Dell Diamond will host the Mud Hens from April 1 to 6, 2025. The series against the Knights and Saints will be on the road.

Cool Baseball Stories

Cool Baseball Stories is a new feature in our newsletter to give members a chance to share an interesting recent experience. This month, we hear from Syd Polk, a former Oakland A’s season ticket holder, and diehard Cardinals fan Monte Cely, who traveled by train with his son between Busch Stadium and Wrigley Field.

By Syd Polk

On Sept. 7, I flew out and said goodbye to the Oakland-Alameda Coliseum, and the Oakland incarnation of the Athletics.

I went to a handful of games before from 1988 to 2000, and then got season tickets for the playoffs in 2000 through the 2006 season, when I moved to Texas. Those Moneyball A’s were so much fun, and the Moneyball game was the most fun I have ever had at a ballpark.

On Saturday night, the weather was perfect, the crowd was big enough to be fun but small enough not to be annoying. The A’s lost 2-1 to the Tigers, but you can’t have everything.

And having old friends there with me was fantastic.

By Monte Cely

My son Matt and I (pictured above, Monte on the right) traveled to St. Louis to see the Cardinals-Rangers series at Busch and on to the Cubs-Cardinals series in Chicago.  A highlight of the trip was traveling from St. Louis to Chicago by train.

Traveling by train for an away series is popular for Cards and Cubs fans.  We took the “Texas Eagle” from downtown St. Louis to Chicago Union Station.  We were an hour late leaving as Amtrak had to hook up extra passenger cars for the many Cardinals fans.  Cubs fans piled onto the train at stops in Illinois.  Riding the rails was a comfortable and fun experience.

In Chicago, we took the “L” (elevated train) Red Line from our hotel to “The Friendly Confines.”  We enjoyed walking around Wrigleyville and had lunch outside the park before the day game.  The restaurant was about 60/40 Cubs/Cardinals fans.  It’s a “friendly rivalry” with a little trash talk about how poorly both teams were playing.  Cubs fans are also really bummed out about the White Sox and were very anti-new-stadium for the South Side.

After the day game, we went to a popular indoor mall to look for gifts.  There was a Harry Caray Restaurant on the top floor, so we had dinner there.  Once settled at our table, I looked around and realized Cardinals 1B Paul Goldschmidt and his family were sitting right behind us!  We didn’t want to bother them, but several young kids rushed up to talk with him.  He was very friendly and gracious to them and their families.  The waitress told us he usually just walks in with his family, no private reservations.

We flew home from O’Hare the next day.  As they say in the Midwest, “A good time was had by all!”

Mike Vance’s second part of duology

You may recall when book author and Dierker Chapter member Mike Vance visited with us in April to promote the publication of the first part of his baseball duology. He’s just published his second part.

https://www.sabrhornsby.org/2024/04/wingos-story-in-baseball-plus-early-season-drama-featured-in-april-meeting/

“Wingo’s Redemption,” the second and final part of Mike’s Wingo baseball historical fiction duology, is now available on Amazon.com and on the author’s website.

Mike shared the description on the back of the book jacket:

116-year-old Rube Wingo recounts another half century of his remarkable life, beginning with a personal tragedy that compels him to leave New York City to pick up the pieces in Cincinnati. His friendships, new and rekindled, and his ill-fitting attempts to again find love surround his behind-the-scenes roles with baseball’s oldest franchise and one of its newest ones–all amidst a backdrop of seismic changes in the game and in American society.

At an age when most people are considering retirement, Rube must reinvent himself one last time, starting with deciding what is most important in his life. After decades of following his dreams, he’s forced to face hard truths about himself and the game which he so dearly loves.

From consummate history storyteller Mike Vance comes the conclusion of Wingo’s captivating and hysterical romp through an American century of life, love, race and baseball.

Here is the praise for the book:

“Mike has a passion for history and baseball. He is an accomplished writer with an active imagination.” – Larry Dierker, MLB All-Star player, manager and broadcaster

“Wingo’s Redemption is simply a great read… a first-class yarn spun by a storyteller and writer at the top of his craft.” – Chris White, Acclaimed author and internet humorist

In pursuit of 25 points: Pavin Smith misses history, Kyle Schwarber makes it

By Jim Baker

This past Sunday night (Sept. 8), Pavin Smith of the Diamondbacks had hit three home runs by the fifth inning against the Astros, including a grand slam, a solo shot and a three-run homer. All he needed to become the first player in Major League Baseball history to hit a home run cycle was a two-run blast. (Only two minor leaguers have ever done this; both from the Texas League. Tyrone Horne did it in 1998 for Arkansas and Chandler Redmond did it two years ago for Springfield.)

The big chance came in the top of the seventh inning. Eugenio Suarez singled to start the inning, but Smith, facing Hector Neris, struck out swinging. Smith was slated to bat second in the ninth inning as well, but this time, Suarez hit a home run off of Josh Hader, meaning there would be no home run cycle. There was still a chance at immortality for Smith, though, as a round tripper would put him in the elite company of players who hit four homers in a game. Only 17 men have done this, including six Hall of Famers.

Instead, he walked. This left him one more shot at joining a select group: those with 25 simple fantasy points in a game (calculated as one point for every total base, run scored, run driven in, walk, hit by pitch and stolen base). Smith stood at first base with 24 points. meaning a stolen base (something he literally does once a year) or a run scored would put him over the threshold.

And yes, this threshold was created by me. I wanted to know which players had most productive games in history and I wanted to do it in a way that would not require any math other than addition. Twenty-five seemed like a good milestone number and the list was born. So far as I know, it’s been done 89 times by 87 players (more on that in a second.) If 89 seems like a lot, consider this: since 1902, there have been 3.3 million player starts in major league games. That number is even higher when you include the 19^th century. Now the feat seems a lot more impressive, no?

Pavin Smith was wiped out on a double play and ended the game one point short of joining this select group. Had he homered and walked instead of striking out and walking in his last two plate appearances, he would have joined an even more elite group: those with 30 points in a game. Only 11 men have ever done that, the latest being Adolis Garcia last season.

Though Smith fell just short—while still enjoying a career game the likes of which the vast majority of players will never come close to matching—just a few weeks ago a player did it for the second time in the space of a month! On September 3, Kyle Schwarber of the Phillies hit his third home (and fourth extra base hit) in the ninth inning, a three-run shot that gave the Phillies a 10-9 win over the Blue Jays. It also put him at 25 points on the night to match his score from August 7 against the Dodgers. (One headline after the Blue Jays game read “Schwarber career night leads Phillies” which made me wonder if the headline writer had already forgotten what he’d done four weeks prior.)

With this performance, Schwarber became only the second player to hit the 25-point threshold twice, the other being hitting legend Lou Gehrig, who did it in 1928 and again in 1932 (meaning he had two of the first 11 in history; he also had a 24-point game in 1930). But Schwarber did it twice in the space of just 25 games, which is nothing short of miraculous!

Furthermore, Schwarber’s contributions in these games were mostly essential. A great majority of the players who get 25 points in a game do so in service to a blowout. In 60 percent of the games, the player’s team scored 15 runs or more. Schwarber’s pair were two of the 12 games in which the player’s team scored 10 or less (it’s only been done three times in losses). Only eight of the winning games were settled by two runs or less.

Next meeting – World Series Watch Party!

The October meeting will continue a longtime chapter tradition – the World Series Watch Party at Jim Baker’s house in Cedar Park!

More details to come at the beginning of October, but the watch party will be the evening of Saturday, Oct. 26. Depending on scheduling, it will either be World Series Game 2 or Game 4. We won’t know until the conclusion of both League Championship Series.

More details and a call for RSVPs to come.