The August 2009 monthly meeting of the Hornsby Chapter will be held at the downtown location of the Third Base sports bar, 1717 West Sixth Street, Austin, on Tuesday, August 25 starting at 6:00 p.m.
Dan Walsh will present a trivia quiz.
Society for American Baseball Research, Rogers Hornsby Chapter
Serving Central and South Texas Since 2006
The August 2009 monthly meeting of the Hornsby Chapter will be held at the downtown location of the Third Base sports bar, 1717 West Sixth Street, Austin, on Tuesday, August 25 starting at 6:00 p.m.
Dan Walsh will present a trivia quiz.
The August 1, 2009 edition of the Wall Street Journal listed the "Five Best" books that excel as portraits of baseball as a business. The list was compiled by Richard J. Tofel, an author and investigative journalist. His "Five Best" are:
As They See ‘Em, by Bruce Weber, Scribner, 2009
Past Time, by Jules Tygiel, Oxford, 2000
Moneyball, by Michael Lewis, Norton, 2003
My Fifty Years in Baseball, by Ed Barrow, Coward-McCann, 1951
The Lords of the Realm, by John Helyar, Villard, 1994
The following is a SABR Convention report from SABR Hornsby Chapter member Gary McIntosh, who is attending the convention in Washington, D.C.
Yesterday’s solid presentations included:
Forfeit: the Final Game of the Washington Senators by Rick Schabowski, (when the fans took over the game with 2 outs in the 9th and the Sens up 8-6 in the last game under the Bob Short regime before the move to Texas)
Senators’ Hitting Streaks by Steve Krevisky (the 31 game streak by Sam Rice for the world champ Senators that helped drive them to the 1924 pennant; and the 33 game streak by Heinie Manush for the last championship team of the Senators in 1933)
The Big Train vs the Big Bambino: an analysis of Walter Johnson vs Babe Ruth as pitching opponents and hitting opponents, by Eric Weiss
Pull Up a Chair: Vin Scully’s Niche in Baseball History, by Curt Smith
Closers, Setup Men and LOOGYs: the Evolution of the Moddern Bullpen by Mike Emeigh
And one of the poster sessions: Rethinking Bill James’ Pythagorean Expectations by Susan Ballentine, a 12th grader using multiple regression models to use stats from both sides to predict outcomes; where James’ approach uses Runs Scored and Runs Allowed from various data, she manages to use the mathematical models to interact with each other….
Many others but these were some of the ones I heard yesterday
Red Sox at Orioles tonight–Camden Yards trip
By the way, this 12th grader is from Richmond VA, and is a winner of numerous academic honors in science and math, and has worked this summer in a NASA/NIA Summer Residential Mentorship in Engineering at NASA in Hampton, VA. She earned varsity letters in six sports in HS so far (softball, soccer, field hockey, basketball, indoor and outdoor track). She has been on the Western Pennsylvania Ski Race Team for 8 years and won the NASTAR national ski racing championship at Park City UT when she was 12. That same year she finished 2nd in the regional Punt, Pass and Kick Competition. After graduation next spring she plans to study applied mathematics at Cal Tech, Stanford or MIT….quite impressive.
This page lists recent publications by SABR Rogers Hornsby Chapter members. Articles in SABR Journals and books authored by chapter members are included.
SABR Journals are gradually being digitized. Those that are currently avaiable are at the following link: http://research.sabr.org/journals/archive
In the meantime, as Casey Stengel was fond of saying, "You can look it up!"
2010
"Memories of Minor-League Traveler", Norman Macht, SABR 40, The National Pastime, 2010
2009
"Washington in 1887", Norman Macht, SABR 39, The National Pastime, 2009
"Washington Nicknames", Norman Macht, The National Pastime
"Does Baseball Deserve This Black Eye? A Dissent from the Universal Casting of Shame and Blame on Kenesaw Mountain Landis for Baseball’s Failure to Sign Black Players Before 1946", Norman Macht, Baseball Research Journal – Summer 2009
2008
Change Up – An Oral History of 8 Key Events that Shaped Modern Baseball, Burke, Fornatale, with Jim Baker, Rodale
"Bullpen Cy Young Awards – When and Why Do Relievers Win It?", Monte Cely, Baseball Research Journal Vol. 37
2007
"Stolen Victories – Daring Dashes That Send the Fans Home Happy", Jan Larson, Baseball Research Journal Vol. 36
Connie Mack and the Early Years of Baseball, Norman Macht, University of Nebraska Press
"The Night Elrod Pitched" and "Johnny Vander Meer on Pete Rose", Norman Macht, National Pastime Vol. 27
2006
"Salary Arbitration: Burden or Benefit?", Bill Gilbert, Baseball Research Journal Vol. 35
"Are Balanced Teams More Successful?", Cyril Morong, BRJ Vol. 35
"The Cy Young Award, Individual or Team Recognition?", Monte Cely, BRJ Vol. 35
"Browns Play Pete Gray", Jim Baker in Rob Neyer’s Big Book of Baseball Blunders, Fireside
2005
Baseball in the Lone Star State, the Texas League’s Greatest Hits, Tom Kayser and D. King, Trinity University Press
"Has Greg Maddux Employed the "Bagwell Gambit" in His Career?’, Cyril Morong, Baseball Research Journal Vol. 34
2004
"Historical Trends in Home-Field Advantage", Cyril Morong, Baseball Research Journal Vol. 32
2003
"RBI, Opportunities, and Power Hitting", Cyril Morong, Baseball Research Journal Vol. 31
1999
"Bibb Falk: The Player Who Filled the Shoes of Shoeless Joe Jackson", Charles Kaufman, National Pastime
Texas was a frequent spring training destination in the early decades of the 20th Century. While San Antonio was the most popular location for the major-leaguers, Marlin in central Texas hosted five different teams over the period of 1904-1923. The New York Giants were long-term tenants at Marlin, and their operation at Emerson Park is generally credited with being the first “permanent” major league spring training facility.
Click on the link below to download a powerpoint presentation about spring training in Marlin, Texas. This document was originally presented at the January, 2009 SABR Rogers Hornsby Chapter Winter Meeting at Texas State University.
NOTE – the powerpoint is about 10MB in size, so it may take a little while to download.
Ten members and guests attended the monthly meeting of the Rogers Hornsby SABR chapter on Monday, July 20 at Third Base in Austin. Topics discussed included the recent All-Star game and both recent and upcoming trips by chapter members to various major league cities to see ballgames. Tom Wancho presented an entertaining trivia quiz on the subject of unusual injuries in honor of Bill Gilbert who is currently on the chapter’s "disabled list." Bill called in to the meeting and visited with most of the attendees for a few minutes. Brian Rogers was the winner of the quiz and received game tickets and parking pass to a Round Rock Express game.
The next meeting was tentatively scheduled for Tuesday, August 25 at Third Base.
“Stolen Victories” is a Powerpoint presentation given by Jan Larson at the January 2008 winter meeting of the Rogers Hornsby Chapter.
You can download the presentation for viewing on your computer: Steals of Home.
Jan can be reached at jan.a.larson@gmail.com.
Author’s notes:
In the “Stolen Victories” presentation, the 35 game ending (“walk off”) steals of home that have occurred in the American and National Leagues since the founding of the American League in 1901 are documented.
The author’s motivation to pursue this research project and the research methodology are described.
Interesting tidbits of trivia regarding the players that stole and the pitchers stolen upon are included along with an explanation of why one of the 35 game ending steals has an asterisk (at least in the author’s opinion).
Finally, all those SABR members who assisted with the research and/or were consulted on the project are listed.
A total of 12 members and guests enjoyed BBQ at the Salt Lick restaurant followed by a once-every-20-years-or-so game between the New Orleans Zephyrs and Round Rock Express. Unfortunately, many of those in attendance at the Dell Diamond missed yet another example of why a baseball fan should *never* leave early regardless of the score.
After New Orleans broke open the scoreless pitchers’ duel by plating four runs in the top of the 11th inning, sending many in the crowd heading for the exits, Round Rock came back with five in the bottom of the inning to pull out the win. The winning run scored on an errant throw from the catcher to first on an attempted 1-2-3 double play which would have ended the inning and sent the game to the 12th.
The next monthly meeting is scheduled for 6:00 p.m. on Monday, July 20 at Third Base in Austin.
The Marginal Impact Statistics Have on Hall of Fame Voting
This analysis on Cy Morong’s blog shows how much a player’s probability of making the Hall of Fame would change given various changes in his statistics based on a non-linear (logit) regression.