Jim Rice and the Hall of Fame (Revisited)
Cy’s commentary on a recent article by Bob Ryan of the Boston Globe taking a swipe at "SABR people."
Society for American Baseball Research, Rogers Hornsby Chapter
Serving Central and South Texas Since 2006
Jim Rice and the Hall of Fame (Revisited)
Cy’s commentary on a recent article by Bob Ryan of the Boston Globe taking a swipe at "SABR people."
The August 2009 monthly meeting of the Hornsby Chapter will be held at the downtown location of the Third Base sports bar, 1717 West Sixth Street, Austin, on Tuesday, August 25 starting at 6:00 p.m.
Dan Walsh will present a trivia quiz.
The following is a SABR Convention report from SABR Hornsby Chapter member Gary McIntosh, who is attending the convention in Washington, D.C.
Yesterday’s solid presentations included:
Forfeit: the Final Game of the Washington Senators by Rick Schabowski, (when the fans took over the game with 2 outs in the 9th and the Sens up 8-6 in the last game under the Bob Short regime before the move to Texas)
Senators’ Hitting Streaks by Steve Krevisky (the 31 game streak by Sam Rice for the world champ Senators that helped drive them to the 1924 pennant; and the 33 game streak by Heinie Manush for the last championship team of the Senators in 1933)
The Big Train vs the Big Bambino: an analysis of Walter Johnson vs Babe Ruth as pitching opponents and hitting opponents, by Eric Weiss
Pull Up a Chair: Vin Scully’s Niche in Baseball History, by Curt Smith
Closers, Setup Men and LOOGYs: the Evolution of the Moddern Bullpen by Mike Emeigh
And one of the poster sessions: Rethinking Bill James’ Pythagorean Expectations by Susan Ballentine, a 12th grader using multiple regression models to use stats from both sides to predict outcomes; where James’ approach uses Runs Scored and Runs Allowed from various data, she manages to use the mathematical models to interact with each other….
Many others but these were some of the ones I heard yesterday
Red Sox at Orioles tonight–Camden Yards trip
By the way, this 12th grader is from Richmond VA, and is a winner of numerous academic honors in science and math, and has worked this summer in a NASA/NIA Summer Residential Mentorship in Engineering at NASA in Hampton, VA. She earned varsity letters in six sports in HS so far (softball, soccer, field hockey, basketball, indoor and outdoor track). She has been on the Western Pennsylvania Ski Race Team for 8 years and won the NASTAR national ski racing championship at Park City UT when she was 12. That same year she finished 2nd in the regional Punt, Pass and Kick Competition. After graduation next spring she plans to study applied mathematics at Cal Tech, Stanford or MIT….quite impressive.
Ten members and guests attended the monthly meeting of the Rogers Hornsby SABR chapter on Monday, July 20 at Third Base in Austin. Topics discussed included the recent All-Star game and both recent and upcoming trips by chapter members to various major league cities to see ballgames. Tom Wancho presented an entertaining trivia quiz on the subject of unusual injuries in honor of Bill Gilbert who is currently on the chapter’s "disabled list." Bill called in to the meeting and visited with most of the attendees for a few minutes. Brian Rogers was the winner of the quiz and received game tickets and parking pass to a Round Rock Express game.
The next meeting was tentatively scheduled for Tuesday, August 25 at Third Base.
A total of 12 members and guests enjoyed BBQ at the Salt Lick restaurant followed by a once-every-20-years-or-so game between the New Orleans Zephyrs and Round Rock Express. Unfortunately, many of those in attendance at the Dell Diamond missed yet another example of why a baseball fan should *never* leave early regardless of the score.
After New Orleans broke open the scoreless pitchers’ duel by plating four runs in the top of the 11th inning, sending many in the crowd heading for the exits, Round Rock came back with five in the bottom of the inning to pull out the win. The winning run scored on an errant throw from the catcher to first on an attempted 1-2-3 double play which would have ended the inning and sent the game to the 12th.
The next monthly meeting is scheduled for 6:00 p.m. on Monday, July 20 at Third Base in Austin.
The Marginal Impact Statistics Have on Hall of Fame Voting
This analysis on Cy Morong’s blog shows how much a player’s probability of making the Hall of Fame would change given various changes in his statistics based on a non-linear (logit) regression.
The Rogers Hornsby Chapter, serving Central and South Texas, was officially recognized as a SABR chapter early in 2006. The Chapter held 12 meetings in 2008 with one meeting in each month, continuing a streak of 25 straight months with a meeting. Ten were dinner meetings, held on a monthly basis, with an average attendance of ten people. In addition to baseball talk, these meetings allowed members to discuss areas of their research and were also used to plan chapter activities. Members are encouraged to bring guests to these meetings and some new active members have been added as a result.
The second annual winter meeting of the chapter was held in January 2008 on the campus of Texas State University in San Marcos. Thirty one people were in attendance at the meeting which included four research presentations by Chapter members and guest appearances by Kansas City Royals scout, Gene Watson, minor league pitcher, Chris Young, Round Rock Express Broadcaster, Mike Capps and Texas State University Baseball Coach, Ty Harrington. A new feature was a book exchange with several members bringing baseball books to exchange with other members. Remaining books were donated to the library at Texas State University.
One of the meetings in 2008 was held at Dell Diamond, the home of the Triple-A Round Rock Express. The meeting included a pre-game get together and attendance at the game as a group.
Five representatives of the Chapter attended the SABR Convention in Cleveland. Norman Macht and Gilbert Martinez made research presentations. Monte Cely had an article published in the 2008 Baseball Research Journal.
The Chapter is continuing a project to identify and commemorate former major league spring training sites in Texas. In February 2008, a three-part series ran in the Marlin, Texas newspaper detailing the history of major league spring training in that town from 1904 thru 1923. The newspaper series was timed to commemorate the 100th anniversary of John McGraw’s arrival in Marlin. A baseball display and book selection have also been established at the local library, and a historical plaque is being considered as further commemoration.
The Chapter’s official SABR-sponsored web site is in development and will be launched soon. Chapter communication and intra-chapter discussions are facilitated by a Yahoo Group mailing list.
The chapter has continued the monthly meetings in 2009. Another very successful Winter Meeting was held in January 2009 with former Astro pitcher, broadcaster and manager, Larry Dierker, as the featured speaker. The Winter Meeting is expected to be an annual affair.
The Rogers Hornsby Chapter of SABR held its monthly get-together at Third Base in Austin on May 18, 2009. Nine members were present.
The Rogers Hornsby Chapter, serving Central and South Texas, was officially recognized as a SABR chapter early in 2006. The Chapter held 12 meetings in 2007 with one meeting in each month. Nine were dinner meetings, held on a monthly basis, with an average attendance of eleven people. In addition to baseball talk, these meetings allowed members to discuss areas of their research and were also used to plan chapter activities. Members are encouraged to bring guests to these meetings and some new active members have been added as a result.
The first annual winter meeting of the chapter was held in January 2007 on the campus of Texas State University in San Marcos. Thirty four people were in attendance at the meeting which included 4 research presentations by Chapter members and guest appearances by former major league pitcher, Carl Scheib, former player and scout, Al LaMacchia, Texas League President, Tom Kayser and San Antonio sportswriter, David King.
After the successful annual meeting in January 2007, another successful meeting was held in January 2008, again at Texas State University in San Marcos, midway between Austin and San Antonio. Thirty one people were in attendance and four chapter members made research presentations. Guest speakers included Kansas City Royals Scout, Gene Watson, Round Rock Express Broadcaster, Mike Capps, Minor League Pitcher, Chris Young and Texas State Baseball Coach, Ty Harrington. Norman Macht presented a trivia quiz. A new feature was a book exchange with several members bringing baseball books to exchange with other members. Remaining books were donated to the library at Texas State University.
Two meetings in 2007 were held at Dell Diamond, the home of the Triple-A Round Rock Express. Both meetings included a pre-game get together and attendance at a game as a group. At the first meeting, attended by 21 people, three members gave research presentations.
The Chapter is continuing a project to identify and commemorate former major league spring training sites in Texas. Norman Macht and Tom Wancho are co-leaders of this project which also involves the other 3 SABR chapters in Texas. Chapter member Monte Cely researched the spring training history of Marlin, Texas, resulting in an article that was published as a three-part series in the local newspaper. A baseball display has also been developed at the Marlin Public Library.
The chapter has continued the monthly meetings in 2008 including a trip to a game in Round Rock. The Winter Meeting is expected to be an annual affair.
The Rogers Hornsby Chapter, serving Central and South Texas, was officially recognized as a SABR chapter early in 2006. The Chapter held 11 meetings in 2006. Ten were lunch or dinner meetings, held on a monthly basis, with an average attendance of eight people. In addition to a lot of baseball talk, these meetings allowed members to discuss areas of their research and were also used to plan chapter activities. Members are encouraged to bring guests to these meetings and some new active members have been added as a result.
The biggest meeting of the year was at Dell Diamond, the home of the Triple-A Round Rock Express. This was a Saturday afternoon meeting in June that featured three research presentations and an appearance by former Round Rock pitcher, Denny McDaniel, talking about his professional career. There were 22 people in attendance who attended the game that night as a group.
The Chapter has undertaken a project to identify and commemorate former major league spring training sites in Texas. Norman Macht and Tom Wancho are co-leaders of this project which will also involve the other 3 SABR chapters in Texas.
The first annual winter meeting of the chapter was held in January 2007 on the campus of Texas State University in San Marcos. Thirty four people were in attendance at the meeting which included 4 research presentations by Chapter members and guest appearances by former major league pitcher, Carl Scheib, former player and scout, Al LaMacchia, Texas League President, Tom Kayser and San Antonio sportswriter, David King.
The chapter has continued the monthly meetings this year and plans to have another get-together in connection with a ball game in the summer. The Winter Meeting is also expected to be an annual affair.