Astros Begin Reloading in 2010 Season

 

Astros Begin Reloading in 2010 Season               
 
By Bill Gilbert
 
 
            After a miserable start to the 2010 season, the Houston Astros made a mid-course correction in July. Astro icons Roy Oswalt and Lance Berkman were traded for 6 younger players and the Club made a modest recovery in the second half of the season with rookies manning four positions in most games. Catcher Jason Castro and third baseman Chris Johnson were recalled from the minor leagues, first baseman Chris Wallace was acquired as an add-on to the Oswalt trade and shortstop, Angel Sanchez was obtained in a trade with the Red Sox to share the shortstop job with fellow rookie Tommy Manzella. 
 
After losing 5-2 to the Giants on opening night to start an 8-game losing streak, the Astros never reached .500 and dropped as much as 19 games below on July 4. Two and a half months later, the team improved to a mark of 73-77 on September 20 before faltering on a 10-day road trip to finish at 76-86, two games ahead of last year. The Club spent most of September in 3rd place ahead of the Brewers but needed a shutout of the Cubs on the final game of the season to finish a game ahead of the Cubs in 4th place. The Astros compiled a record of 40-33 after the All-Star break.
 
            The biggest problem the team faced was a lack of offensive production, particularly early in the season from the three hitters in the middle of the lineup, Berkman, Carlos Lee and Hunter Pence. Pence and Lee improved in the second half as Pence hit 25 home runs for the third straight year and led the team with 91 RBIs. Lee was close behind with 24 home runs and 89 RBIs but his .246 batting average was far below his career average of .291. Berkman had only 13 home runs and a .245 batting average before his trade on July 30. The team finished last in the National League in home runs and the only other Astro player in double figures was rookie Chris Johnson with 11 in a little over half of the season.
 
            The team scored an average of 3.77 runs per game, far below the league average of 4.33. The Club allowed opposing teams 4.50 runs per game. With figures like this, a team would be expected to win about 66 rather than 76 games. Thus, it can be concluded that the team may not be as good as the record indicated. Compounding the lack of power is a deficiency in getting on base. The Astros finished last in the National League in both on-base percentage (.303 vs. league average of .324) and slugging percentage (.362 vs. league average of .399). They were also last in the major leagues in walks and next to last in runs.
 
            Pence and Lee are the only established power hitters on the team. To overcome the power deficiency, newcomers Johnson, Wallace and Castro must provide about 20-25 home runs apiece if the Astros are to be competitive since little power can be expected from the second base, shortstop and center field positions.
 
            There were a few offensive bright spots for the Astros in 2010. Johnson batted .308, the highest figure among National League rookies. Second baseman Jeff Keppinger batted .288 and was the hardest player in the league to strike out. Michael Bourn led the league in stolen bases with 52 and again played gold glove-caliber defense in center field.  And who can forget the unlikely 4-game sweep of the Phillies in Philadelphia in August.
 
            Turning to pitching, the Astros were in the middle of the pack with an ERA of 4.09 vs. the league average of 4.02. After the departure of Oswalt, Brett Myers was the staff ace with a 14-9 record and an ERA of 3.14. He pitched 6 or more innings in his first 32 starts before getting hit hard in his final start of the season and being removed after 5 2/3 innings. Wandy Rodriguez, after a very slow start, was the only other pitcher with more than 10 wins with a record of 11-12 and an ERA of 3.60. The bullpen was reasonably effective and produced two pitchers with 20+ saves in Matt Lindstrom (23) and Brandon Lyon (20). It was only the 5th time that a team had two pitchers with 20 saves.
 
            Looking forward, the Astros resurgence in the second half of the season provides some hope for 2011. Manager Brad Mills and his staff are providing the type of leadership and stability the team needs. The starting pitching was generally strong in the second half with the emergence of J.A. Happ, obtained in the Oswalt trade, the continued development of Bud Norris and the surprising success of Nelson Figueroa. The bullpen was strengthened by the addition of Wilton Lopez, Fernando Abad and Mark Melancon.  However, on the offensive side, the lack of power and on-base skills must be addressed if the team is to be a contender.
 
10/6/10

October Meeting/Playoffs Watch Party

It’s time for the 2nd Annual Rogers Hornsby Chapter Playoff Watch Party and Cookout! We’ll watch Game 2 of the ALCS and Game 1 of the NLCS on Saturday, Oct. 16.

The times for the games have not been announced, but one game will probably start in mid-afternoon and the other will be in the evening. A follow-up email will be sent out once start times are announced.

This will serve as the monthly meeting for the chapter.

For those who were able to attend last year, you may remember the fun time we had at Gilbert’s house. We saw the Dodgers close out the Cardinals in a three-game sweep and would’ve watched the second game, but it was snowed out in Colorado!

Gilbert will grill hamburgers and veggie burgers. You can bring a side dish, or dessert, or beverages. Please email me directly with what you plan to bring so we have a variety.

Please RSVP directly to Gilbert and he will send you his home address and home phone.

Questions? Dietary needs the cook should know about? Email Gilbert off list at gmartinez46@austin.rr.com.

September Meeting Summary

Seven chapter members gathered at Third Base in Austin for dinner and to discuss the pennant races as well as favorites for the MVP and Cy Young awards.  No formal votes were taken, but the consensus was that Joey Votto of Reds and Miguel Cabrera of the Tigers are the likely favorites for MVP.  There was some discussion of the changing SABR demographics, "reversion to mean," fielding independent pitching (FIP) and batting average on balls in play (BABIP).

We also discussed some items related to the Winter Meeting scheduled for January 2011 and tentative plans for a League Championship Series watching party next month to be hosted by Gilbert and Raeanne Martinez.

2011 Winter Meeting

 

Society for American Baseball Research
ROGERS HORNSBY CHAPTER
Fifth Annual WINTER MEETING
 
at TEXAS STATE UNIVERSITY
OLD MAIN BUILDING, ROOM 320
 
SATURDAY, JANUARY 15, 2011
10am – 4pm
 
 
AGENDA
 
10:00 – 10:20am – Register (plus make your lunch selection); Meet and Greet
 
10:20 – 10:30am –  Welcome & Logistics – Gilbert Martinez
 
10:30 – 11:00am – Icebreaker and Baseball Quiz – Norman Macht
 
11:00 – 12:15pm – Houston Astros Broadcaster Bill Brown
 
12:15 – 12:45pm – Lunch & Mingle
 
12:45 – 1:00pm – Memorabilia Discussion (see below)
 
1:00 – 1:25pm – Mike Capps – 2011 Round Rock Express Preview
 
1:25 – 1:50pm – Steve Fall – The Expanded Post-season and its Impact on True Champions
 
1:50 – 2:15pm – Craig Budner – Hyman Pearlstone and Connie Mack
 
2:15 – 3:00pm – Norman Macht Interviews Bobby Thomson
 
3:00 – 4:00pm – Major League Veteran and Broadcaster Jerry Grote 
 
BOOK EXCHANGE – members are encouraged to bring a baseball book to exchange
 
MEMORABILIA – if you’d like to bring a memorabilia item, take a minute to tell about it; wear your favorite team jersey or cap, especially if there’s a story to tell about them
 

You may contact any member of the organizing committee if you have any questions:

Gilbert Martinez : gmartinez46@austin.rr.com

Monte Cely : cely@swbell.net

Jan Larson : jan.a.larson@gmail.com

 
The meeting will be on the third floor in the Old Main building. Look for the elevator on the first floor, or use the stairs. Here’s a photo of Old Main:
 
 
Directions to Texas State University-San Marcos
 
If you’re traveling north from San Antonio, take I-35 and take Exit 206, Aquarena Springs Drive.
 
If you’re traveling south from Austin, take I-35 and take Exit 206, Aquarena Springs Drive.
 
Travel west on Aquarena Springs Drive, which turns into University Drive. After crossing the San Marcos River, you will come to a traffic light. Turn right onto Sessom Drive. Just before the first light, turn left on State Street and go up a steep road toward Old Main. Go through a gate (the gate should be up) and continue up the hill. At the top of the hill, make a sharp left turn and drive up to Old Main. Look for parking on this road that winds around the side and back of Old Main.
 
You can find additional parking at the Pleasant Street Garage, located at the corner of N. LBJ and Pleasant Street. To reach this garage, after you pass through the gate, continue up the hill, then down the hill to the stop sign on Pleasant Street. Turn left; the entrance to the parking garage will be on your left.
 
You do not need a parking pass to park on campus – however, do not park in spaces not marked as parking spaces or in handicapped parking (unless you have the appropriate tag displayed).
 
The meeting room is on the third floor in Room 320. There is an elevator on the first floor, or you can take the stairs.
 
If you get lost or need help, call Gilbert Martinez (cell phone: 512-963-1263).
 
Use this link to see a Googe map showing the Texas State campus in relation to I-35:
 
Use this link to see a closer view of Old Main and the campus:

 

Book Review: The Baseball Codes

The Baseball Codes:

Beanballs, Sign Stealing, and Bench-Clearing Brawls:

The Unwritten Rules of America’s Pastime

 

by Jason Turbow with Michael Duca
 
 
A Baseball Book Review
Gilbert D. Martinez
gmartinez46@austin.rr.com

 

                

The Baseball Codes is a fun and entertaining read about episodes, many highly hilarious, throughout baseball’s history. The authors do a good job sprinkling stories from just about every era of the game, giving casual and passionate fans of the game something new to read.

The book opens with a recounting of the infamous decision by Robin Ventura of the White Sox to charge the mound in Arlington after being hit by Rangers pitcher Nolan Ryan in the last year of his Hall of Fame pitching career in 1993.

I’ve seen photos of Ryan holding Ventura in a neckhold with his fist pulled back, cocked, just an instant from pummeling Ventura’s unfortunate face. This incident is often used to described Ventura’s ill-advised decision to challenge one of the greatest and hardest-throwing pitchers of all time. Jokes are made about how Ventura’s face served as a punching bag.

But the authors of the book focus on the backstory, which they find much more interesting. They say that baseball’s unwritten rules are what compelled Ventura to rush the mound, whether he wanted to or not.

Three years before, Ryan had given up back-to-back home runs by Craig Grebeck and Ozzie Guillen in the second game of a double-header, which the White Sox swept. Seven days later, Ryan nailed Grebeck in the back and knocked Scott Fletcher down one pitch after Fletcher asked the umpire to inspect the ball for scuff marks.

Before the fateful game, the White Sox players talked about Ryan and agreed that enough was enough. The only thing they could do, they agreed, was something extreme, like charge the mound, to try to put an end to Ryan’s intimidation tactics.

So, when Ventura was hit, he really had no choice but to charge the mound. Either way, he couldn’t win. If he failed to respond, he risked alienating his teammates; if he did rush the mound — well, we know he took his beating.

The Baseball Codes is filled with similar stories about the quirky traditions and customs of baseball. Anecdotes about not running up the score, playing the game the right way, not showing up your opponents, retaliation and sign stealing. There are also stories about how players don’t talk to the pitcher when he takes a no-hitter or perfect game into the late innings.

Though the book is not filled with Sabermetric-type numbers, it makes for a nice complement by providing insights into baseball behavior that go beyond OPS+ and WHIP.

 

Here are the key statistics:

 

Book: The Baseball Codes: Beanballs, Sign Stealing and Bench-Clearing Brawls: The Unwritten Rules of America’s Pastime

Authors: Jason Turbow and Michael Duca

Authors’ credentials: Turbow is a regular contributor to Giants Magazine and A’s Magazine. His writing has appeared in The New York Times, SportsIllustrated.com, Popular Science and the San Francisco Chronicle. Duca works in the Office of the Commissioner of Major League Baseball as an official scorer and for mlb.com. He has written for Sports-Ticker, Giants Today in the San Francisco Chronicle and the Associated Press and was the first chairman of the board of Bill James’s Project Scoresheet.

Published: 2010, Pantheon Books (New York)

Length: 304 pages

Price: Retail list – $25.00; Online – from $12.49 (used) plus shipping

August Meeting Summary

For the 45th consecutive month, 10 members of the Rogers Hornsby Chapter met to discuss baseball, and this time, a little football. Jim Baker shared his newly published book, The Most Memorable Games in Giants History: The Oral History of a Legendary Team (Bloomsbury USA, 2010). That would be the New York (football) Giants. The group also welcomed new member Steve Fall, a New York native who pulls for the Mets and the Braves.

The date for the 5th Annual Winter Meeting at Texas State in San Marcos is set for Saturday, Jan. 15, 2011 — please save the date! If you’re interested in giving a research presentation or have suggestions for guest speakers, please contact Gilbert Martinez, Jan Larson or Monte Cely.

The next Hornsby Chapter meeting is scheduled for Tuesday, Sept. 28, at Third Base.

Book review: Forever Blue, the True Story of Walter O’Malley

Forever Blue

The True Story of Walter O’Malley,
Baseball’s Most Controversial Owner
 
by Michael D’Antonio
 
 
A Baseball Book Review
Monte Cely
(512) 310-9777
                                               
            Demonized by Brooklynites and those that dream of “the good old days”, and yet praised by many as one of baseball’s visionary leaders, Dodgers magnate Walter O’Malley certainly qualifies as one of baseball’s most controversial owners. In this book, author Michael D’Antonio paints a balanced, even predominately positive, picture of the recently elected Hall of Famer.
 
            O’Malley’s early life (pre-Dodgers) is recounted as introduction. His father was a Tammany Hall official. Walter’s years at a military high school, at Penn, and at law school all help shape his character and interests. He is successful at business law and this leads him to the Dodgers, where he is assigned to the front office by a Dodger creditor to “… go over there and do a little troubleshooting …” The rest is history, although not necessarily the history written by New York sportswriters of that era.
 
            The author uses family archives to reconstruct O’Malley’s thoughts and intentions in dealing with the Dodger heirs, with Branch Rickey, on keeping the Dodgers in Brooklyn, and on the opportunities and problems of leaving for Los Angeles. O’Malley is shown dealing with politics and public interests in building a stadium in Brooklyn (he failed) and then again in Los Angeles (where he succeeded). 
 
            A SABR member interested in new insights into “what really happened” should enjoy this book.
 
Here are the key statistics:
 
Book: Forever Blue: The True Story of Walter O’Malley, Baseball’s Most Controversial Owner, and the Dodgers of Brooklyn and Los Angeles
Author:  Michael D’Antonio
Author’s Credentials: D’Antonio is a Pulitzer Prize winner for reporting in Newsday. He has authored several books on topics outside of sports and his work has appeared in Esquire, The New York Times Magazine, and the LA Times Magazine.
Published: 2009, Riverhead Books (Penquin); ISBN: 978-1-59448-856-6
Length: 343 pages.
Price: Retail list – $35.00;    Online – from $2.50 (used) + shipping.

SABR 40 Wrap-up

 

            By all accounts, SABR 40 in Atlanta was a big success although registration was below the total in recent years. I know I sure had a good time.
 
            SABR is clearly in a time of transition. Executive Director John Zajc is resigning to pursue other interests. His replacement is Marc Appleman who has had an extensive and varied career in communications related to sports, particularly baseball. John received numerous, well-deserved accolades at the convention and will be staying on until the end of September to ease the transition. Mark was present for the entire convention and made a very favorable impression.
 
            There was a great deal of discussion at the Annual Business Meeting about SABR’s demographics. Ten years ago, the average age of SABR members was 49. Now it is 59. Obviously, SABR is not attracting many younger members. This was discussed in some depth at a special, open meeting Thursday night and will be a high priority item for the Board and the new Executive Director. They are looking for ideas for attracting and retaining new members.
 
            Probably the highlight of the convention was the Worst to First panel featuring Atlanta Braves Bobby Cox, Phil Niekro, Mark Lemke and Ron Gant. It centered on the rise of the Braves from last in 1990 to first in 1991 and what it took to keep them at the top. Former Braves broadcaster, Pete Van Wieren, did an excellent job as the moderator. Braves President John Schuerholz was the speaker at the Awards Luncheon and was very well received.
 
            Other highlights included a Black Sox panel featuring retired sportswriter, Furman Bisher and several authors and attorneys who had done research on the case. The consensus was that, while Jackson did not return the money ($1,000) that Lefty Williams left in his room, he did not do anything to throw any games.
 
            Another highlight was a one-man play featuring Norm Coleman as Ty Cobb, which was very entertaining.
 
            As always there were some outstanding oral (41) and poster (14) presentations including some that didn’t mention Ty Cobb and Shoeless Joe Jackson. Research was presented that made strong cases for Billy Wagner as the best ever left-handed relief pitcher; Kirk Reuter as the best fielding pitcher of his era; and the ages of 29-31 as the years when hitters reach their peaks.
 
            The Rogers Hornsby Chapter was well represented. Cy Morong, Tom Wancho and Bill Gilbert were in attendance and Monte Cely was recognized at the luncheon as one of the judges for the Sporting News Award. Norman Macht contributed an excellent article to Baseball in the Peach State, the Convention Publication of The National Pastime. The article is entitled “Memories of a Minor-League Traveler” about his years with Ernie Harwell and his experiences as a minor league business manager. A highlight for me was being part of the winning four-man team in the Trivia Contest for the first time in 16 years. In the finals, we won on a tiebreaker which was to name the nine players in the starting lineup when the Atlanta Braves played their first game in 1966. We identified six and our opponents came up with four. Anybody want to take a shot at it (without looking it up?)
 
            The game we attended was not one of my best baseball experiences. Our bus parked a long way from the stadium and then we experienced a two-hour rain delay before the game started. The game went into extra innings when the Giants scored a run without a hit off the greatest left-handed closer in the ninth inning and another one without a hit in the eleventh inning to win it. After the long walk back to the bus and some traffic delays, we arrived back at the hotel at 1:30 a.m.
 
            The convention will be in Los Angeles in 2011 and Minneapolis has been officially announced as the site in 2012. Houston is being considered as a potential site in 2013. Since putting on a convention is very labor-intensive, there should be some volunteer opportunities for Hornsby Chapter members if Houston gets it.

On being a Houston Astros fan

By Gilbert D. Martinez

I grew up in South Texas following the Houston Astros, mostly on the radio with my dad. I remember J.R. Richard and Nolan Ryan pitching for the Astros but was too young to understand the complexities of their teams’ playoff runs.

I died with the ’86 Astros team and still dislike the New York Mets organization because of that memorable and heart-wrenching NLCS (with apologies to Jim Baker). When I lived in New Jersey for seven years, I had a hard time living around Mets fans, who loved the ’86 season.

The Golden Age of the Astros really started when Biggio and Bagwell started to carry the team in the late ’90s. When Roy Oswalt came along in 2001, the strong run of Astros teams continued.

Of course, 2004 and 2005 are among the greatest Astros seasons ever.

And during all of this time as an Astros fan, I was becoming spoiled. I didn’t know it at the time, but I know it now.

Spoiled how? I was spoiled because I expected the Astros players to be homegrown, to win a World Series and to play their entire careers with the Astros. Sure, I embraced Randy Johnson when he came via trade, but when he left after the Astros playoff run in ’98 ended, so did my acceptance of him.

But Biggio and Bagwell were still around, and would always be there. And when their candidacies for the Hall of Fame are debated, the virtue of playing for the same team their entire careers – a la Cal Ripken Jr., Tony Gwynn, Ryne Sandberg and Kirby Puckett in recent years – will be highly touted.

I thought Oswalt and Berkman would stay. They were homegrown; they played in a World Series; so of course I expected them to play their entire careers in Houston.

In past years, Oswalt’s name would come up before the July 31st trade deadline, but I never took it seriously. Just like I didn’t believe that the Astros wouldn’t re-sign Biggio for the 2007 season so that he could reach 3,000 hits.

Even when Oswalt publicly announced that he wanted out of Houston, I still didn’t believe that Drayton McLane would actually agree to trade him.

As for Berkman – a Texas native who had made it clear that he belongs in Texas – I didn’t think he would be traded. After all, he said he didn’t want to leave. He did say he’d listen to offers, but listening to offers is very different from agreeing to waive a no-trade clause.

And McLane would never trade away the two faces of the franchise – both of whom played in the only World Series the Astros have been in, and one of whom was the last Astros player still on the roster (Berkman) to suit up in the Astrodome.

Boy, was I wrong. I was wrong because I had been spoiled. I expected Oswalt and Berkman to play their entire careers with the Astros. I didn’t expect them to be traded away within 48 hours.

Because I’ve been spoiled, I found out how much it hurt to hear that Oswalt wanted to leave Houston – mostly because the team has been mediocre, the team had not been competitive, the team had no future because of a depleted farm system and the team couldn’t score any runs for his starts. I guess I can’t blame him, but breaking up is harder for the guy who’s not leaving.

Amid all this pain, I look to see who’s left with the Astros and find that it’s a more exciting bunch than I realized. I expect J.A. Happ to be solid, and I’m hopeful that Brett Wallace is the hitting machine he’s made out to be.

But this injection of youth has also energized other young players on our team – Chris Johnson is tearing it up, Jason Castro is coming around, and Angel Sanchez had a career game against the Cardinals in Busch Stadium, no less.

Who knows what the future holds for this Astros team? I don’t, but I know this: watching the Astros in the week since the trade deadline was a lot of fun. Solid pitching, clutch hitting, great defense – all are essential elements for good baseball.

And now, I feel like there’s hope on the horizon – those dire predictions about the Astros should be set aside. All of a sudden, the future isn’t looking so bad.

I may have been spoiled, and I may wince when I see Berkman in Yankee pinstripes or Oswalt in red Phillies shoes, but I’ve realized that it’s the Astros as a team that I love most.